NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	132		Excitement	8.1 [245]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +70.0%
Dallas Mavericks	134		Comeback	1.2 [783]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -20.4%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.70	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.7	0.47	0.22	-0.01	31	81%	0.78	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.07
Andrew Wiggins	0.32	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.17	0.11	-0.03	12	85%	0.33	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mychal Mulder	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.02	0.03	11	77%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	16	40%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Brad Wanamaker	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Damion Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.07	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	7	-0.20	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.12	-0.02	23	70%	0.47	7	-0.15	14	79%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.18	-0.01	11	67%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.04	-0.01	8	85%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	18	44%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.06	-0.00	15	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	2.8	29.0	14.6	30.0	2.7	35.6	145.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +6.0%

GSW -3.8%

DAL +32.6%

DAL +10.8%

DAL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	DAL	NBA	GSW	DAL	NBA
this game	11.6	15.5	14.4	123.4	126.4	111.3
season	13.5	15.0		109.9	114.3
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.2	11.8	11.2	12.3	11.6
DAL	13.7	16.5	15.1	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	54	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.48	10	-12	22	10.7	12.5	-1.84	15.2	15.8	-0.57
Kelly Oubre Jr.	71	70	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	5	-12	12.3	10.2	2.13	16.2	14.1	2.16
Draymond Green	84	84	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-9	16	11.0	13.8	-2.86	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Stephen Curry	84	84	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-9	16	11.0	13.8	-2.86	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Brad Wanamaker	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.10	-6	4	-10	12.5	11.2	1.30	16.2	15.1	1.07
Mychal Mulder	26	26	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	3	-8	11.0	11.8	-0.77	11.5	16.8	-5.22
Andrew Wiggins	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.19	-6	4	-10	12.1	10.9	1.25	16.5	14.0	2.45
Juan Toscano-Anderson	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.34	-1	-1	0	12.0	10.7	1.29	16.3	13.8	2.44
Damion Lee	48	45	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.14	-9	7	-16	12.1	11.2	0.88	14.7	16.0	-1.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luka Doncic	85	88	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.27	18	-16	34	15.1	16.9	-1.78	11.7	11.2	0.45
Josh Richardson	72	71	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.30	6	-4	10	14.5	17.5	-2.97	11.5	11.7	-0.17
Dwight Powell	37	39	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	-5	12	14.8	15.9	-1.11	11.8	11.4	0.38
Kristaps Porzingis	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.23	3	-1	4	16.3	14.1	2.22	11.5	11.7	-0.23
Maxi Kleber	71	72	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	-1	4	15.6	15.2	0.46	11.2	12.3	-1.09
Dorian Finney-Smith	74	76	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	-1	4	16.5	13.1	3.42	11.7	11.2	0.59
Trey Burke	11	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.02	4	-2	6	17.9	15.2	2.71	13.4	11.4	1.99
Jalen Brunson	51	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.36	-14	16	-30	15.0	15.9	-0.97	11.4	11.7	-0.32
Tim Hardaway Jr.	62	60	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.51	-20	22	-42	15.2	15.9	-0.69	11.5	11.7	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.8,0.75,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.7,0.74,0.88,0.89,0.81,0.92,0.88,0.82,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 81, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.67,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
MEM 99, NOP 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.59,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.75,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.7%
CHH 90, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.96,1	92.4%