NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	136		Excitement	7.3 [370]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +36.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	141		Comeback	1.8 [707]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (WAS): -23.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	6	73%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.33	-0.13	0.09	35	71%	0.24	4	-0.13	15	87%	0.03
Ish Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Davis Bertans	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	15	55%	0.11	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Rui Hachimura	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	4	67%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Anthony Gill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.21,-0.25,-0.23,-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.01	18	50%	0.03	6	-0.27	4	25%	-0.04

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.18	0.17	-0.01	20	72%	0.52	5	-0.15	13	100%	0.09
Seth Curry	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.36	0.36	0.27	0.10	0.01	14	100%	0.37	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.02	9	73%	0.16	4	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	71%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.02	0.03	10	75%	0.12	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.03	-0.04	16	56%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrance Ferguson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	0	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	32.5	12.8	31.8	1.8	35.2	141.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +52.3%

PHI +19.2%

WAS -21.5%

PHI +1.3%

WAS -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	11.8	14.2	14.4	123.6	127.0	111.3
season	13.3	14.5		109.9	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.1		106.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	11.5	11.0	11.6	11.8
PHI	14.8	12.9	13.9	15.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Neto	27	26	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.04	10	-15	25	12.6	11.5	1.09	13.7	14.4	-0.67
Robin Lopez	31	32	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-14	23	11.8	11.8	-0.00	15.7	13.7	1.99
Anthony Gill	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.05	2	-7	9	13.0	11.8	1.25	15.6	14.2	1.42
Jerome Robinson	10	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-2	-1	14.4	11.5	2.85	13.9	14.3	-0.37
Ish Smith	50	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.36	5	-10	15	11.5	12.1	-0.57	15.2	13.4	1.89
Deni Avdija	36	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	4	-13	13.1	11.2	1.85	14.1	14.3	-0.27
Davis Bertans	76	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	11.2	13.1	-1.81	14.4	14.0	0.39
Rui Hachimura	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	8	-21	12.1	11.5	0.66	13.2	15.4	-2.23
Russell Westbrook	89	91	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	11.4	13.4	-1.94	14.7	12.1	2.61
Bradley Beal	89	90	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.50	-9	4	-13	11.5	13.0	-1.53	14.0	15.5	-1.52
Thomas Bryant	79	79	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.38	-14	9	-23	11.8	11.8	0.00	13.7	15.7	-1.99

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	83	84	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.29	14	-9	23	13.9	15.2	-1.30	12.2	10.5	1.66
Seth Curry	82	83	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.23	16	-11	27	14.0	14.9	-0.84	12.2	10.6	1.56
Tobias Harris	94	94	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	-2	9	14.5	13.1	1.40	11.5	13.4	-1.91
Danny Green	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-9	23	13.8	15.0	-1.16	12.5	10.6	1.87
Ben Simmons	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.27	6	-1	7	14.3	14.2	0.06	12.8	9.0	3.82
Terrance Ferguson	1	0	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	5	-5	1.0	14.4	-13.36	0.0	11.8	-11.81
Matisse Thybulle	44	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.20	-9	14	-23	14.7	13.9	0.80	10.6	12.5	-1.87
Shake Milton	48	48	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.04	-5	10	-15	14.3	14.2	0.09	10.5	12.8	-2.36
Tyrese Maxey	26	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.10	-9	14	-23	14.9	14.0	0.84	10.8	12.1	-1.31
Dwight Howard	28	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	14	-23	15.2	13.9	1.30	10.5	12.2	-1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.79,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	93.9%
DET 95, WAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.81,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.89,0.96,1	92.9%
ATL 93, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.79,0.66,0.85,0.7,0.52,0.47,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.84,0.99,1,1	92.3%