NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	111		Excitement	8.7 [174]		MVP	Otto Porter Jr. (CHI): +20.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	108		Comeback	8.9 [28]		LVP	Derrick Jones Jr. (POR): -9.2%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Otto Porter Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.10	0.01	14	63%	0.20	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Williams	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.00	8	78%	0.21	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Garrett Temple	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.07	-0.01	10	70%	0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.01	19	50%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	54%	0.07	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Daniel Gafford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	0.00	18	46%	0.11	4	-0.15	3	100%	0.03
Denzel Valentine	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	8	59%	0.03	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.09	0.02	17	53%	0.16	0	0.00	11	82%	0.07
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.04	0.09	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	0.00	10	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Harry Giles III	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.02,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	21	62%	0.15	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.10	-0.12	0.02	10	70%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	15	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	25.3	14.8	26.4	2.5	38.2	135.0
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +36.1%

CHI +9.5%

CHI +20.5%

POR -21.0%

CHI +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	POR	NBA	CHI	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	14.8	14.4	109.9	108.0	111.3
season	14.5	14.9		109.9	116.9
opponent	14.2	14.3		115.1	111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.5	12.7	13.4	14.8	13.9
POR	13.2	17.3	14.8	14.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	61	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.41	5	-2	7	13.8	14.0	-0.20	14.8	14.9	-0.12
Coby White	83	81	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	4	-5	13.7	14.8	-1.13	14.5	16.3	-1.86
Denzel Valentine	38	37	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	-7	17	13.7	13.9	-0.18	16.5	13.8	2.62
Otto Porter Jr.	60	61	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	-1	5	13.7	14.1	-0.41	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Wendell Carter Jr.	51	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.32	1	2	-1	14.4	13.3	1.05	14.8	14.8	0.00
Zach LaVine	89	89	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	2	-1	14.1	11.8	2.29	14.8	14.5	0.30
Thaddeus Young	50	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.07	2	1	1	13.3	14.4	-1.05	15.0	14.7	0.29
Daniel Gafford	21	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	6	-9	13.3	14.0	-0.71	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Patrick Williams	52	53	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	7	-11	14.3	13.4	0.94	14.2	15.6	-1.40

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	39	40	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	-1	-1	15.6	14.3	1.32	12.5	14.7	-2.20
Anfernee Simons	10	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	3	-9	19.0	14.3	4.66	12.4	14.0	-1.54
Derrick Jones Jr.	66	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.01	-5	2	-7	15.0	14.4	0.69	14.3	13.1	1.15
Enes Kanter	31	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	2	-7	16.6	14.0	2.57	12.9	14.3	-1.34
Harry Giles III	9	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.12	-2	-1	-1	14.0	14.9	-0.89	15.6	13.7	1.87
CJ McCollum	76	78	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-3	3	14.1	17.0	-2.88	14.1	12.9	1.27
Damian Lillard	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.54	5	-8	13	14.4	16.2	-1.79	14.1	13.1	0.95
Robert Covington	76	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.57	6	-9	15	14.4	16.2	-1.79	14.1	13.1	0.95
Carmelo Anthony	58	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.29	-9	6	-15	15.1	14.4	0.70	13.1	14.9	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.9,0.88,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.67,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.74,0.79,0.66,0.74,0.63,0.47,0.63,0.59,0.47,0.6,0.55,0.21,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	92.5%
MEM 120, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.37,0.47,0.66,0.54,0.52,0.21,0.06,0.04,0	91.9%
BOS 113, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.75,0.75,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.79,0.82,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.71,0.42,0.32,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.16,0.06,0,0	91.4%