NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	128		Excitement	11.1 [29]		MVP	Collin Sexton (CLE): +35.2%
Detroit Pistons	119		Comeback	85.2 [15]		LVP	Derrick Rose (DET): -52.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.21,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.13	0.25	0.03	23	68%	0.48	4	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Cedi Osman	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.00	0.05	12	73%	0.14	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Dante Exum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.08	0.02	14	75%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.10	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Kevin Love	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	52%	0.01	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.10	-0.08	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,0.05,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.12	-0.09	-0.01	21	41%	0.09	4	-0.29	14	64%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.20	0.11	0.02	14	78%	0.32	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.03	0.04	9	70%	0.13	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	-0.01	-0.02	21	62%	0.20	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.00	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	9	57%	0.10	3	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Sekou Doumbouya	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	6	43%	0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	6	50%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	7	19%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.46,-0.46,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52,-0.52	-0.52	-0.18	-0.35	-0.00	15	36%	-0.16	6	-0.36	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	28.7	13.7	29.1	1.5	30.6	2.5	17.1	2.8	14.0	167.6
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	2.3	15.8	2.3	15.8	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +31.9%

CLE +2.7%

DET -11.9%

CLE +33.5%

DET -6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	13.8	14.1	14.4	101.6	96.0	111.3
season	15.2	15.0		104.5	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.6	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CLE	14.4	12.5	13.6	12.9	15.3	13.5
DET	12.3	14.1	12.1	17.8	16.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	86	86	1.23	-0.73	1.96	0.76	16	-7	23	13.5	14.5	-1.02	15.9	9.8	6.09
Darius Garland	84	82	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.41	19	-10	29	13.7	14.0	-0.26	14.9	12.5	2.37
Andre Drummond	97	94	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.29	10	-1	11	13.7	14.0	-0.24	14.3	13.2	1.10
Kevin Love	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.16	14	-5	19	13.4	14.5	-1.11	14.3	13.5	0.82
Collin Sexton	99	99	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	13.4	15.2	-1.84	13.9	14.5	-0.57
Larry Nance Jr.	54	51	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	11	-13	14.6	13.2	1.36	13.0	14.8	-1.84
JaVale McGee	29	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.05	-1	10	-11	14.0	13.7	0.24	13.2	14.3	-1.10
Dante Exum	31	32	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.14	-8	17	-25	12.8	14.1	-1.29	11.3	15.0	-3.75
Cedi Osman	58	55	-0.80	1.30	-2.10	-0.45	-12	21	-33	15.1	12.6	2.52	12.0	15.7	-3.71

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Jackson	43	43	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.27	9	-18	27	11.3	15.5	-4.19	14.4	13.5	0.94
Jahlil Okafor	44	43	0.44	-0.94	1.39	0.18	9	-18	27	12.4	15.0	-2.60	13.2	14.1	-0.90
Saddiq Bey	15	13	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.12	-1	-8	7	15.7	13.8	1.90	9.8	14.2	-4.38
Mason Plumlee	66	70	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-7	5	15.1	12.9	2.13	14.0	13.5	0.50
Svi Mykhailiuk	53	54	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-12	15	12.0	15.6	-3.67	14.3	13.4	0.97
Killian Hayes	42	43	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	15.0	13.6	1.45	12.8	14.3	-1.50
Jerami Grant	90	93	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-11	13	13.7	15.0	-1.25	14.2	12.5	1.67
Derrick Rose	71	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.35	-3	-6	3	13.3	15.1	-1.80	14.5	12.8	1.78
Sekou Doumbouya	21	18	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.01	-18	9	-27	14.2	14.0	0.21	12.9	13.9	-1.04
Blake Griffin	80	83	-1.01	0.51	-1.53	-0.55	-16	7	-23	15.2	11.9	3.34	13.7	14.0	-0.37
Delon Wright	77	78	-1.07	0.57	-1.65	-0.40	-23	14	-37	15.6	11.6	4.04	13.1	14.9	-1.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.5,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.37,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.23,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.48,0.7,0.81,0.7,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.95,0.99,0.91,0.46,0.39,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.48,0.37,0.59,0.71,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.54,0.75,0.55,0.77,0.96,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.06,0.03,0	82.9%
MEM 131, BKN 125	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.34,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.58,0.45,0.52,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.58,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.46,0.75,0.63,0.9,0.96,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.32,0.28,0	81.9%
LAC 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.68,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.91,0.9,1	81.3%