NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Excitement	7.6 [320]		MVP	Miles Bridges (CHA): +36.3%
Charlotte Hornets	107		Comeback	3.1 [252]		LVP	Aleksej Pokusevski (OKC): -11.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0.28	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.28	-0.07	0.31	-0.04	20	48%	0.37	5	-0.09	10	70%	0.03
George Hill	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.20	0.05	0.01	9	105%	0.24	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mike Muscala	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	8	78%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Bazley	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.02	12	62%	0.10	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luguentz Dort	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	12	54%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kenrich Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hamidou Diallo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	42%	0.04	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Al Horford	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	27%	-0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Theo Maledon	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.03	6	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.36	0.36	0.09	0.34	0.07	8	87%	0.41	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	8	59%	0.08	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	15	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Cody Martin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	13	41%	-0.01	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.08	0.04	15	49%	-0.08	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	31%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Devonte' Graham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	16	38%	-0.04	2	-0.06	5	60%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	32.3	14.6	27.2	1.8	39.0	141.1
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +40.3%

OKC +10.3%

OKC +0.5%

CHA -5.1%

OKC +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHA	NBA	OKC	CHA	NBA
this game	14.5	12.8	14.4	103.8	100.9	111.3
season	14.2	14.2		102.4	109.4
opponent	14.7	14.0		111.8	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.0	14.3	14.2	13.7	14.5
CHA	13.3	13.4	13.5	11.1	12.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luguentz Dort	78	78	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.23	16	-14	30	14.2	15.6	-1.43	12.5	13.5	-1.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	77	78	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.25	14	-12	26	14.2	15.4	-1.12	12.7	13.0	-0.36
Darius Bazley	74	74	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.38	9	-7	16	14.4	15.0	-0.62	12.6	13.2	-0.55
George Hill	54	53	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-8	18	14.3	14.7	-0.41	12.3	13.2	-0.87
Al Horford	64	65	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	-1	4	14.1	15.1	-1.01	12.2	13.7	-1.56
Mike Muscala	37	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	0	2	15.1	14.2	0.80	14.2	12.0	2.13
Hamidou Diallo	42	43	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.22	-9	11	-20	15.1	14.1	0.98	13.1	12.5	0.62
Kenrich Williams	33	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.12	-6	8	-14	15.0	14.3	0.68	13.4	12.5	0.98
Theo Maledon	43	44	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.24	-16	18	-34	15.4	14.0	1.42	13.2	12.5	0.66
Aleksej Pokusevski	23	24	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.11	-13	15	-28	14.8	14.5	0.32	12.6	12.8	-0.19

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen McDaniels	24	23	0.27	-0.77	1.05	-0.11	13	-15	28	12.6	12.8	-0.19	14.8	14.5	0.32
Devonte' Graham	74	77	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.17	14	-16	30	11.9	14.7	-2.79	14.6	14.3	0.29
Caleb Martin	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-9	16	13.0	12.7	0.33	15.0	14.3	0.63
Cody Martin	37	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.40	3	-5	8	12.8	12.7	0.10	15.1	14.2	0.91
Bismack Biyombo	63	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.17	-5	3	-8	13.8	11.3	2.51	15.0	13.9	1.13
LaMelo Ball	33	31	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	9	-20	15.0	11.8	3.23	14.5	14.6	-0.12
P.J. Washington	69	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	5	-12	11.9	14.5	-2.59	14.0	15.5	-1.56
Miles Bridges	52	53	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	2	-6	12.6	12.9	-0.35	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Gordon Hayward	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.39	-2	0	-2	12.4	13.8	-1.39	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Terry Rozier	69	69	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.27	-18	16	-34	13.1	12.2	0.81	14.3	15.0	-0.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 109, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.12,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NJN 114, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
DEN 104, LAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.68,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.51,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%