NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	107		Excitement	9.5 [95]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +26.9%
Philadelphia 76ers	113		Comeback	8.2 [258]		LVP	Tobias Harris (PHI): -26.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.13	0.05	-0.01	7	87%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	117%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Thomas Bryant	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,0.07,0.04	-0.07	0.11	-0.00	13	37%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.10
Moritz Wagner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	7	44%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Raul Neto	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.03,-0.06,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.03	22	61%	0.12	6	-0.14	7	86%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Bonga	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.02	3	71%	-0.04	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	0.01	0.02	22	43%	0.08	6	-0.22	5	60%	-0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.11	0.17	0.01	17	67%	0.36	3	-0.09	9	89%	0.06
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.00	11	66%	0.20	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.04
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.11	0.10	0.06	0.08	0.03	8	65%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	-0.05	0.15	0.00	12	53%	0.20	4	-0.11	6	33%	-0.04
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	61%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.12	0.04	13	33%	-0.21	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	30.2	14.8	35.0	1.6	39.7	145.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +2.7%

PHI +3.1%

PHI +20.3%

PHI +14.2%

PHI +9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	12.3	14.6	14.4	100.0	105.6	111.3
season	13.3	14.5		109.9	112.6
opponent	14.2	14.1		106.7	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.4	11.2	10.8	14.0	12.3
PHI	13.3	14.5	15.5	15.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	68	68	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.07	14	-20	34	11.1	14.4	-3.38	13.8	16.1	-2.36
Moritz Wagner	15	14	0.18	-0.68	0.87	-0.05	8	-14	22	9.5	12.7	-3.21	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Russell Westbrook	82	83	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.39	10	-16	26	11.9	13.6	-1.71	14.6	14.7	-0.16
Isaac Bonga	37	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.30	7	-13	20	12.6	12.1	0.51	14.9	14.5	0.41
Bradley Beal	82	83	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.40	6	-12	18	11.7	14.4	-2.70	14.3	15.8	-1.50
Thomas Bryant	56	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-8	10	12.2	12.3	-0.08	14.7	14.5	0.18
Robin Lopez	36	35	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	10	-26	13.5	11.7	1.82	14.8	14.6	0.22
Davis Bertans	48	49	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.29	-3	-3	0	11.4	13.0	-1.55	13.6	15.5	-1.95
Raul Neto	18	19	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.02	-14	8	-22	13.9	12.0	1.92	16.8	14.2	2.63
Ish Smith	47	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.09	-21	15	-36	13.9	11.1	2.78	15.7	13.9	1.80
Troy Brown Jr.	46	43	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	0.05	-23	17	-40	14.3	10.7	3.61	15.6	14.0	1.67

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	62	63	1.21	-0.71	1.91	0.24	33	-27	60	14.9	14.3	0.54	13.5	10.6	2.89
Joel Embiid	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.41	-2	8	-10	14.5	15.0	-0.52	12.1	12.8	-0.69
Ben Simmons	78	76	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	8	-10	13.7	17.2	-3.54	11.6	14.1	-2.54
Seth Curry	71	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	7	-8	14.5	14.8	-0.27	12.3	12.3	-0.04
Furkan Korkmaz	41	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.11	14	-8	22	15.9	13.8	2.03	13.5	11.5	2.02
Mike Scott	36	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	-5	16	15.7	14.1	1.61	12.9	12.0	0.97
Tobias Harris	71	72	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.36	-5	11	-16	14.1	15.7	-1.61	12.0	12.9	-0.97
Dwight Howard	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.09	8	-2	10	15.0	14.5	0.52	12.8	12.1	0.69
Tyrese Maxey	22	23	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.05	3	3	0	16.7	14.1	2.64	13.2	12.0	1.13
Matisse Thybulle	2	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	6.5	14.8	-8.28	5.0	12.4	-7.43
Danny Green	45	44	-0.71	1.21	-1.91	0.09	-27	33	-60	14.3	14.9	-0.54	10.6	13.5	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.46,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.79,0.69,0.64,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.82,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 80, CHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.39,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.32,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.59,0.47,0.33,0.39,0.55,0.67,0.95,1	90.0%
PHI 113, NYK 114	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.35,0.27,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	89.9%
NYK 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.06,0.23,0.72,1	89.8%