NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	121		Excitement	10.0 [60]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +62.7%
Boston Celtics	122		Comeback	3.3 [276]		LVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): -13.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.32,0.32	0.10	0.23	0.01	16	69%	0.40	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Khris Middleton	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.12	0.10	0.01	0.00	20	61%	0.17	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.06
Brook Lopez	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.01	4	87%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0	0.10	-0.07	0.03	11	68%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	0.00	3	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.05,-0.06,-0.13	0.03	-0.13	0.03	26	58%	0.05	7	-0.18	8	75%	-0.27

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.14,0.63	0.63	0.07	0.57	0.01	28	54%	0.67	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.19	0.13	0.00	24	63%	0.32	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.05	-0.01	15	59%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Williams III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	3	30%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1	-0.10	0.06	-0.14	0.02	8	62%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	3.3	27.3	15.5	29.2	2.8	37.0	137.8
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +56.5%

MIL -13.0%

MIL -20.9%

BOS +27.7%

MIL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	BOS	NBA	MIL	BOS	NBA
this game	12.4	15.9	14.4	117.5	120.8	111.3
season	13.5	14.5		114.8	112.8
opponent	14.5	14.7		111.9	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	11.0	13.0	13.6	12.0	12.4
BOS	15.7	15.3	14.7	18.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brook Lopez	63	61	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.52	22	-23	45	11.8	13.3	-1.52	16.5	15.0	1.49
Sam Merrill	12	13	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-1	1	10.6	12.6	-2.02	16.6	15.8	0.82
Bryn Forbes	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-5	9	12.6	12.3	0.38	15.9	15.9	-0.06
D.J. Wilson	28	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	5	-11	11.3	12.8	-1.44	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Khris Middleton	80	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.50	7	-8	15	12.5	11.9	0.64	16.3	14.5	1.79
Pat Connaughton	49	48	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	13	-27	13.0	11.8	1.24	15.0	16.7	-1.64
Donte DiVincenzo	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-5	9	11.6	13.5	-1.92	16.3	15.3	0.94
Bobby Portis	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	15	-31	13.9	11.6	2.22	15.3	16.2	-0.84
Giannis Antetokounmpo	78	76	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.43	-1	0	-1	12.7	11.5	1.17	16.0	15.6	0.40
Jrue Holiday	83	80	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	4	-9	12.5	11.7	0.77	15.5	17.3	-1.81

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	52	53	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-6	13	15.3	16.5	-1.18	12.5	12.2	0.25
Jaylen Brown	78	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-7	15	15.5	17.3	-1.76	12.6	11.5	1.06
Jayson Tatum	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.63	-6	7	-13	15.9	16.0	-0.14	11.9	13.5	-1.64
Semi Ojeleye	37	39	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.14	20	-19	39	15.9	15.9	0.07	14.3	11.2	3.04
Marcus Smart	80	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	1	-1	15.8	16.2	-0.37	12.5	12.0	0.52
Tristan Thompson	49	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	7	-13	15.5	16.3	-0.84	12.1	12.6	-0.55
Robert Williams III	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	6	-11	16.8	15.6	1.25	11.7	12.6	-0.95
Grant Williams	31	31	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.11	-19	20	-39	17.0	15.4	1.59	11.6	12.7	-1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.29,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, BKN 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.23,0.42,1	90.4%
CHI 93, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.62,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.58,1	89.4%
SAS 80, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,1	89.2%