NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	112		Excitement	5.6 [663]		MVP	Rayjon Tucker (UTA): +12.9%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	1.0 [337]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (SAS): -14.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.02	11	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keldon Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.03	0.09	12	75%	0.14	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.00
Luka Samanic	0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	10	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	14	54%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.07
Quinndary Weatherspoon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	59%	0.06	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.01	0.03	6	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.03	14	40%	-0.02	6	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rayjon Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.02	12	62%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	6	85%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nigel Williams-Goss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	56%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miye Oni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Morgan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarrell Brantley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Bradley	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Justin Wright-Foreman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.3	26.7	17.3	30.3	3.0	27.2	136.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +30.3%

SAS -8.3%

UTA +8.8%

UTA +18.0%

UTA +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	12.9	15.7	14.2	112.0	116.8	109.6
season	14.1	14.9		110.8	112.1
opponent	14.2	14.2		109.4	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.7	12.7	12.8	12.5	12.9
UTA	13.5	18.1	17.2	14.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinndary Weatherspoon	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.03	-4	-2	-2	11.0	13.1	-2.06	14.4	15.8	-1.46
Jakob Poeltl	44	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.08	-1	-5	4	12.9	12.9	0.02	16.5	15.2	1.33
Luka Samanic	64	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.38	7	-13	20	13.2	12.5	0.70	16.4	14.5	1.91
Keldon Johnson	64	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.31	4	-10	14	12.5	13.7	-1.21	15.9	15.4	0.54
Dejounte Murray	75	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.34	4	-10	14	12.9	13.0	-0.11	15.8	15.4	0.38
Marco Belinelli	63	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.12	-6	0	-6	12.9	13.0	-0.13	15.2	16.5	-1.33
Chimezie Metu	56	57	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	6	-18	13.4	12.3	1.12	15.2	16.5	-1.30
Lonnie Walker IV	71	71	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	6	-18	13.1	12.5	0.62	15.6	16.0	-0.35
Drew Eubanks	56	58	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	4	-14	12.7	13.2	-0.43	15.5	16.1	-0.60

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Morgan	46	46	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-1	8	14.7	16.6	-1.97	13.0	12.8	0.23
Joe Ingles	27	27	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.09	12	-6	18	13.6	16.5	-2.91	13.9	12.6	1.33
Jordan Clarkson	30	31	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.10	12	-6	18	13.8	16.5	-2.78	13.6	12.6	0.96
Jarrell Brantley	59	57	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.36	-4	10	-14	17.1	13.8	3.28	12.7	13.3	-0.59
Ed Davis	17	17	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.09	11	-5	16	13.6	16.2	-2.57	13.9	12.7	1.16
Nigel Williams-Goss	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	10	-14	15.8	15.6	0.17	12.5	13.3	-0.73
Rayjon Tucker	51	49	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.41	-7	13	-20	16.2	15.2	1.04	12.3	13.5	-1.24
Miye Oni	54	55	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.15	0	6	-6	15.8	15.6	0.20	13.1	12.8	0.30
Tony Bradley	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	7	-8	16.8	14.9	1.90	13.0	12.9	0.06
Royce O'Neale	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	16.2	15.6	0.69	12.9	12.9	-0.01
Donovan Mitchell	25	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	5	-4	16.2	15.6	0.69	12.9	12.9	-0.01
Justin Wright-Foreman	36	34	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.37	-11	17	-28	16.4	15.4	0.99	11.9	13.5	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.91,0.83,0.89,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.86,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 79, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.9%
DEN 92, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	94.3%