inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 119 Excitement12.1 [19] MVPGordon Hayward (BOS): +36.0%
Boston Celtics 122 Comeback70.9 [34] LVPD.J. Augustin (ORL): -25.3%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Clark0.340,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.340.130.21-0.00888%0.361-0.021100%0.02
Melvin Frazier Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.040.00580%0.1100.0000%0.00
Khem Birch0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.00067%0.0500.00667%0.00
James Ennis III0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01762%0.0400.002100%0.01
Wes Iwundu0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.030.00750%0.091-0.064100%0.04
Vic Law-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Markelle Fultz-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12-0.08-0.07-0.031842%0.013-0.132100%0.01
Nikola Vucevic-0.180,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,-0.03,-0.13,-0.18-0.02-0.19-0.022746%-0.072-0.11250%-0.01
Terrence Ross-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.20.01-0.210.001749%-0.092-0.113100%0.03
D.J. Augustin-0.250,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.08-0.160.001243%-0.104-0.154100%0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gordon Hayward0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.36,0.36,0.360.360.230.140.011874%0.381-0.02683%0.07
Jayson Tatum0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,0.13,0.13,0,-0.01,0.19,0.190.180.010.17-0.002454%0.424-0.23683%0.00
Brad Wanamaker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.050.070.00571%0.141-0.034100%0.03
Robert Williams III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.060.020.01580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Daniel Theis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.050.050.040.010.00475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Jaylen Brown0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.01-0.011946%0.051-0.03367%-0.04
Semi Ojeleye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00-0.01437%0.0100.0000%0.00
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.010.00440%-0.011-0.032100%0.01
Marcus Smart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.120.001040%-0.121-0.0300%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25-0.25-0.16-0.10-0.02919%-0.183-0.07367%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.43.427.515.325.43.332.52.315.3151.6
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.42.315.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +35.5%
BOS +7.8%
ORL -12.1%
BOS +21.3%
ORL -2.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game14.214.414.2106.2110.9109.6
season14.714.5107.1112.0
opponent14.414.2105.8108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL13.915.615.013.113.214.2
BOS14.913.814.414.115.514.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wes Iwundu54520.14-0.640.770.19-2-1-114.514.00.4315.413.51.85
Vic Law15130.08-0.580.660.051-4515.114.11.0314.814.40.41
Khem Birch33330.06-0.560.630.012-5714.214.3-0.0813.814.6-0.80
Melvin Frazier Jr.4140-0.08-0.420.340.04-41-514.514.10.4313.215.1-1.90
James Ennis III4948-0.13-0.370.25-0.07-2-1-114.813.80.9514.814.10.75
Gary Clark7172-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.514-71113.515.6-2.1615.013.31.71
Terrence Ross7977-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.34-2-1-114.314.00.3013.915.6-1.75
Nikola Vucevic7977-0.560.06-0.63-0.42-52-714.314.20.0814.613.80.80
Markelle Fultz7170-0.590.09-0.69-0.56-1-2113.914.8-0.9313.416.2-2.77
D.J. Augustin6868-0.620.12-0.74-0.45-63-914.414.00.4015.013.41.59

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jayson Tatum86880.98-0.481.450.5714-112514.215.3-1.1814.214.20.04
Gordon Hayward81830.86-0.361.210.599-61514.314.8-0.5714.613.11.49
Daniel Theis62630.430.070.360.55-47-1115.113.51.6913.714.9-1.20
Jaylen Brown80810.410.090.330.47-25-714.813.41.3414.114.5-0.42
Marcus Smart68690.180.32-0.140.27-36-913.815.4-1.6113.914.8-0.85
Enes Kanter16170.150.35-0.19-0.057-41113.714.5-0.7716.813.83.04
Kemba Walker6466-0.020.52-0.540.01-14-514.813.90.9314.513.90.59
Brad Wanamaker3535-0.070.57-0.63-0.1012-113.814.7-0.9414.114.3-0.18
Robert Williams III3232-0.080.58-0.66-0.0803-313.314.9-1.5513.914.4-0.47
Semi Ojeleye2626-0.340.84-1.18-0.16-69-1516.113.92.2313.814.4-0.61


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.17,0.29,0.28,0.15,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.34,0.67,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 110, NYK 1140.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.64,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.44,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.58,0.53,0.28,0.31,0.21,0.05,0.08,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.92,191.0%
MIA 108, IND 1140.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.62,0.74,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.72,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.1,0.02,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.9,190.0%
ORL 98, BOS 1030.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.84,0.73,189.8%