NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	8.5 [214]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): +32.8%
LA Clippers	108		Comeback	5.5 [410]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (SAS): -14.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.15	0.17	-0.01	17	66%	0.36	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.05
Patty Mills	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.12	0.13	0.03	0.04	13	69%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Rudy Gay	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lonnie Walker IV	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	7	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.14	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	-0.01	-0.17	-0.05	23	50%	-0.13	3	-0.02	6	67%	-0.03

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.26	0.26	0.05	0.17	-0.04	13	58%	0.30	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.08
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.2,0.2,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	8	75%	0.19	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	0.01	17	58%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	64%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	0.02	0.08	12	39%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	27.2	14.8	30.4	2.3	32.6	132.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +47.0%

LAC +16.9%

SAS -8.6%

SAS -3.7%

SAS -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.4	12.7	14.2	102.9	104.9	109.6
season	14.1	13.8		110.8	113.2
opponent	14.4	14.2		107.0	112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.6	16.3	14.5	16.4	15.4
LAC	14.2	11.0	12.2	13.5	12.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	35	33	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-4	5	13.4	16.5	-3.06	12.7	12.6	0.08
Trey Lyles	54	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-3	3	15.5	15.4	0.09	12.5	12.9	-0.40
Bryn Forbes	48	51	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	2	-7	16.6	14.4	2.28	12.0	13.3	-1.33
Dejounte Murray	49	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	5	-13	17.1	13.9	3.16	12.2	13.2	-0.95
Lonnie Walker IV	45	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.34	3	-6	9	15.0	15.8	-0.75	13.8	11.9	1.92
Derrick White	53	50	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-8	13	13.9	17.1	-3.16	13.2	12.2	0.95
Patty Mills	55	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-6	9	14.1	17.0	-2.85	13.1	12.2	0.87
LaMarcus Aldridge	66	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.47	-2	-1	-1	16.7	13.1	3.64	12.6	12.7	-0.08
DeMar DeRozan	72	74	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.46	-14	11	-25	15.7	14.7	1.05	12.2	13.8	-1.56

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	66	65	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.38	21	-18	39	12.5	13.1	-0.60	15.9	14.7	1.16
Patrick Beverley	55	56	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.39	17	-14	31	12.2	13.2	-1.01	16.3	14.4	1.91
Kawhi Leonard	69	67	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.39	13	-10	23	12.3	13.4	-1.06	15.7	15.0	0.67
Landry Shamet	61	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.54	-8	11	-19	12.9	12.4	0.49	15.3	15.6	-0.32
Montrezl Harrell	51	53	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.32	-1	4	-5	13.2	12.2	1.00	15.7	15.2	0.50
Ivica Zubac	51	48	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	-2	7	12.4	12.9	-0.55	15.5	15.4	0.07
Maurice Harkless	48	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	0	3	12.4	12.9	-0.59	15.0	15.8	-0.75
JaMychal Green	37	37	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.02	-10	13	-23	13.2	12.3	0.89	15.2	15.6	-0.44
Rodney McGruder	27	27	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.07	-15	18	-33	12.7	12.6	0.10	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Lou Williams	50	51	-0.44	0.94	-1.39	-0.15	-10	13	-23	13.3	12.1	1.26	14.3	16.6	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.15,0.43,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 95, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.41,0.73,1	90.4%
NJN 89, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.37,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.48,0.37,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.96,1	90.2%
POR 97, ATL 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.85,1	90.0%