NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	8.0 [273]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (TOR): +39.8%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	1.5 [1006]		LVP	Kevin Porter Jr. (CLE): -16.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.21	0.21	0.03	14	84%	0.43	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Chris Boucher	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	5	83%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.09,0.1	0.05	0.08	0.03	12	57%	0.14	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.01	16	61%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Terence Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Fred VanVleet	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	13	31%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14	0.01	-0.13	0.02	12	56%	0.01	3	-0.14	10	80%	0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.17	0.09	0.00	13	85%	0.32	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	1	100%	0.02	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.04	0.03	17	61%	0.10	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	16	47%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.06
Tristan Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alfonzo McKinnie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	6	14%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	9	65%	0.05	7	-0.22	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	1.8	26.2	14.5	26.5	2.6	36.3	136.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +25.0%

TOR +8.6%

TOR +4.0%

TOR +9.0%

TOR +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	14.2	110.6	106.9	109.6
season	14.0	15.1		109.9	106.3
opponent	13.8	14.5		114.2	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.1	13.4	13.1	14.0	13.2
CLE	14.1	14.3	16.9	14.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	82	79	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	12.7	15.0	-2.34	14.7	15.3	-0.56
Serge Ibaka	71	70	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.24	12	-6	18	12.9	13.7	-0.80	15.1	14.2	0.88
Pascal Siakam	74	72	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.28	10	-4	14	12.9	13.9	-1.00	15.0	14.5	0.46
Norman Powell	57	56	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	0	6	13.4	12.9	0.55	13.7	16.2	-2.42
Patrick McCaw	44	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.08	4	2	2	13.2	13.1	0.01	15.0	14.7	0.26
Fred VanVleet	77	76	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.21	-5	11	-16	13.7	11.6	2.16	15.2	13.8	1.31
OG Anunoby	68	66	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.12	-3	9	-12	12.8	13.8	-0.95	15.5	13.6	1.96
Terence Davis	14	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	4	-2	15.1	12.9	2.22	13.8	15.0	-1.20
Chris Boucher	33	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	12	-18	13.7	12.9	0.80	14.2	15.1	-0.88

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	25	25	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.09	7	-13	20	13.0	15.4	-2.36	14.1	12.8	1.27
Dante Exum	15	14	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-8	10	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.6	12.9	1.64
Cedi Osman	47	48	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-6	6	15.2	14.5	0.76	13.1	13.2	-0.05
Alfonzo McKinnie	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-2	-2	15.0	14.7	0.33	13.3	13.0	0.29
Tristan Thompson	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	4	-14	15.8	13.7	2.12	12.8	13.6	-0.84
Kevin Love	69	71	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-3	0	15.0	14.5	0.46	13.1	13.3	-0.17
Kevin Porter Jr.	60	63	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.38	1	-7	8	14.4	15.5	-1.07	13.3	13.0	0.25
Larry Nance Jr.	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	0	-6	14.5	15.2	-0.76	13.2	13.1	0.05
Collin Sexton	70	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	0	-6	14.9	14.7	0.11	12.7	14.3	-1.57
Darius Garland	75	75	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	5	-16	14.9	14.6	0.36	13.2	13.1	0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.27,0.22,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.24,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.07,0.25,0.21,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 93, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.31,0.19,0.21,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.07,0.02,0	93.2%
OKC 89, BOS 84	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.26,0	93.2%
POR 101, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.1%