inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 107 Excitement8.0 [275] MVPP.J. Tucker (HOU): +20.8%
Houston Rockets 109 Comeback30.1 [207] LVPBryn Forbes (SAS): -23.4%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0.110,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.070.04-0.001556%0.1100.004100%0.05
Rudy Gay0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.070.020.05-0.00960%0.132-0.062100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.090.07-0.071343%0.104-0.052100%0.01
Trey Lyles0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00657%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Patty Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.01-0.03440%0.0110.002100%0.01
Derrick White-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.02,0.02,0.02,00.07-0.020.04962%0.042-0.04875%0.00
Jakob Poeltl-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.01333%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.0110%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Marco Belinelli-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.08-0.07-0.0050%-0.1500.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray-0.200,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2-0.02-0.180.001553%-0.093-0.1100%0.00
Bryn Forbes-0.230,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.230.08-0.240.081275%-0.183-0.0500%0.00

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
P.J. Tucker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.030.16-0.01664%0.221-0.01250%-0.00
Ben McLemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.170.170.100.110.041165%0.1700.00425%-0.05
James Harden0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.060.06-0.020.06-0.032945%0.092-0.034100%0.06
Clint Capela0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.050.050.000.04-0.01968%0.144-0.09425%-0.04
Gary Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00330%-0.0200.00475%-0.00
Thabo Sefolosha0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Danuel House Jr.0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.02825%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.020.112553%-0.015-0.12989%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.81.729.413.732.81.732.3136.3
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +46.6%
SAS -0.7%
SAS -4.1%
HOU +6.2%
HOU +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASHOUNBASASHOUNBA
this game14.112.014.296.499.1109.6
season14.113.4110.8111.2
opponent14.414.2108.9112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS13.912.115.415.214.1
HOU12.710.711.713.012.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jakob Poeltl29290.18-0.680.86-0.068-101812.114.7-2.599.213.0-3.79
Lonnie Walker IV25240.13-0.630.76-0.087-91612.914.4-1.5211.712.1-0.43
Trey Lyles47450.05-0.550.600.11-20-214.014.1-0.0212.012.0-0.04
Patty Mills45420.01-0.510.530.22-75-1214.213.90.3211.212.5-1.27
Rudy Gay4949-0.06-0.440.39-0.3510-122212.915.0-2.0712.211.90.33
Derrick White5554-0.18-0.320.14-0.180-2213.714.4-0.6811.812.2-0.44
DeMar DeRozan7271-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.03-1412-2615.112.22.9311.413.1-1.75
Marco Belinelli1920-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.27-64-1016.213.62.5413.011.81.22
Bryn Forbes6668-0.510.01-0.53-0.665-71213.914.2-0.3212.511.21.27
Dejounte Murray6666-0.530.03-0.57-0.50-1-1013.914.2-0.3212.710.91.78
LaMarcus Aldridge8282-0.700.20-0.89-0.40-108-1814.712.12.5912.99.53.35

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Harden81820.71-0.210.930.4210-81812.710.22.4814.114.00.07
Clint Capela88880.62-0.120.730.417-51212.79.03.7514.512.22.32
P.J. Tucker88880.60-0.100.700.407-51212.012.2-0.2314.512.32.15
Ben McLemore66680.56-0.060.610.2311-92011.413.0-1.5914.213.90.28
Russell Westbrook95940.290.210.080.59-1012-2211.813.1-1.2413.815.7-1.95
Austin Rivers27270.010.49-0.47-0.073-1411.112.3-1.1313.714.2-0.51
Danuel House Jr.6162-0.070.57-0.650.16-810-1812.511.41.0314.513.41.08
Gary Clark2930-0.100.60-0.690.02-46-1010.312.6-2.2512.114.8-2.68
Thabo Sefolosha1516-0.120.62-0.740.05-68-1411.112.1-1.0812.614.3-1.67


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.29,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.85,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 118, WAS 1250.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.28,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.85,0.99,190.8%
ORL 112, IND 1140.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.38,0.64,0.85,0.9,190.3%
DAL 104, ATL 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.14,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.53,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.91,190.2%