NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	118		Excitement	8.3 [238]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +41.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	122		Comeback	4.5 [542]		LVP	Mike Conley (UTA): -19.7%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2	0.17	0.03	0.00	15	77%	0.22	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Joe Ingles	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.01	-0.01	10	68%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.00	6	86%	0.22	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Royce O'Neale	0.12	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.07	0.01	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.16	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	11	59%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Bradley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Donovan Mitchell	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.15	-0.02	-0.14	-0.01	17	54%	-0.01	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.06	0.00	10	27%	-0.08	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.23,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.41	0.41	0.26	0.22	0.06	31	62%	0.41	0	0.00	19	68%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.09	-0.03	5	90%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.03	0.01	9	95%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.05	0.03	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	16	38%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.08	-0.00	9	25%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	30.5	14.8	29.1	2.5	31.6	134.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -33.3%

MIL +11.4%

MIL +44.5%

MIL +26.9%

MIL +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.5	13.6	14.2	114.6	119.6	109.6
season	14.9	13.2		112.1	111.0
opponent	14.1	14.2		102.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.4	13.5	18.0	13.4	14.5
MIL	13.2	13.7	12.0	15.4	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Georges Niang	38	38	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.20	12	-16	28	13.2	15.3	-2.09	13.4	13.7	-0.31
Emmanuel Mudiay	40	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.14	5	-9	14	13.4	15.2	-1.81	14.0	13.3	0.65
Tony Bradley	50	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	2	-8	15.3	13.7	1.62	13.9	13.3	0.60
Jeff Green	55	54	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-4	4	14.1	15.0	-0.89	13.3	13.9	-0.66
Royce O'Neale	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.20	-6	2	-8	15.5	12.9	2.50	13.7	13.5	0.21
Donovan Mitchell	75	76	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.45	2	-6	8	13.3	17.6	-4.26	13.7	13.1	0.63
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	72	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.16	-8	4	-12	15.2	12.9	2.31	13.6	13.6	0.03
Joe Ingles	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	6	-16	14.6	14.3	0.32	13.4	13.8	-0.35
Mike Conley	63	61	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	5	-14	15.2	13.4	1.81	13.3	14.0	-0.65

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	80	83	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.35	14	-10	24	13.3	14.5	-1.10	14.7	13.8	0.81
Pat Connaughton	59	60	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	6	-8	14.3	12.6	1.70	13.2	16.3	-3.05
Brook Lopez	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-6	16	13.8	13.2	0.60	14.7	14.0	0.78
Wesley Matthews	70	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-2	8	13.0	14.8	-1.78	15.2	13.2	1.93
Donte DiVincenzo	71	70	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	-2	8	13.6	13.5	0.06	14.4	14.7	-0.24
Sterling Brown	52	55	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	-5	14	13.4	13.8	-0.45	15.1	13.9	1.18
Ersan Ilyasova	33	32	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	7	-10	13.9	13.4	0.43	14.7	14.4	0.22
Eric Bledsoe	57	58	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	11	-18	13.6	13.6	0.06	14.7	14.3	0.34
Robin Lopez	5	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.02	-5	9	-14	15.4	13.5	1.91	13.7	14.6	-0.89
Kyle Korver	11	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	12	-20	13.0	13.7	-0.66	11.8	14.9	-3.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.62,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.23,0.26,0.18,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.66,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.7,0.83,0.72,0.6,0.41,0.4,0.68,0.84,0.96,0.98,1	90.7%
PHX 99, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.48,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.53,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.93,0.94,0.97,1	90.4%
CHI 92, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.23,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.81,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.79,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.78,0.9,0.96,1	90.2%