NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	11.8 [24]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAC): +35.4%
LA Clippers	107		Comeback	22.3 [109]		LVP	Kemba Walker (BOS): -44.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.42,0.48,0.61,0.61,0.32,0.28	0.09	0.19	-0.00	24	60%	0.46	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Wanamaker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.08	0.04	8	70%	0.18	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.04
Robert Williams III	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.14	-0.05	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.04,-0.13,-0.15	-0.03	-0.11	0.01	20	37%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	14	28%	-0.08	3	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.45	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.43,-0.43,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.45	-0.19	-0.27	-0.01	17	35%	-0.08	6	-0.37	3	67%	-0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35	0.35	-0.02	0.38	0.00	21	59%	0.61	7	-0.26	4	100%	0.07
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.05	0.00	5	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.04,-0.02,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	11	64%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.04	0.00	8	37%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	42%	-0.02	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	0.01	-0.13	0.00	18	60%	0.07	5	-0.20	6	83%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.11	-0.20	-0.01	20	42%	-0.17	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	3.4	27.5	16.3	26.4	2.8	39.0	2.4	20.5	162.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.0%

LAC +6.9%

BOS -9.1%

LAC +11.4%

LAC +10.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAC	NBA	BOS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	14.2	97.2	99.1	109.6
season	14.5	13.8		112.0	113.2
opponent	14.4	14.4		107.0	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	14.4	14.3	16.0	18.4	15.9	15.7
LAC	14.4	13.9	14.0	12.3	15.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	42	42	0.48	-0.98	1.45	0.27	7	-10	17	16.7	15.1	1.63	13.5	14.1	-0.56
Brad Wanamaker	56	55	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.15	6	-9	15	16.9	14.5	2.40	13.2	14.5	-1.35
Enes Kanter	27	28	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.02	9	-12	21	15.4	15.8	-0.41	12.1	14.5	-2.39
Robert Williams III	18	17	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.07	0	-3	3	16.1	15.7	0.44	16.4	13.4	2.98
Semi Ojeleye	11	12	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.00	2	-5	7	14.6	15.9	-1.24	15.7	13.6	2.15
Jaylen Brown	77	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	15.8	15.6	0.25	13.8	13.8	0.03
Marcus Smart	81	82	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.46	-4	1	-5	15.2	17.4	-2.16	14.2	12.8	1.36
Jayson Tatum	85	84	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.51	-6	3	-9	15.2	17.7	-2.49	13.7	14.2	-0.42
Kemba Walker	77	79	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.52	-8	5	-13	15.5	16.5	-1.00	14.0	13.5	0.44
Daniel Theis	61	61	-1.11	0.61	-1.73	-0.62	-17	14	-31	15.9	15.5	0.40	13.9	13.7	0.21

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul George	77	75	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.47	17	-14	31	13.6	14.3	-0.67	16.5	13.9	2.67
Patrick Beverley	82	82	0.90	-0.40	1.29	0.40	17	-14	31	13.6	14.6	-1.02	16.1	14.6	1.45
Lou Williams	74	74	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.56	0	3	-3	13.8	13.9	-0.10	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Montrezl Harrell	64	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.54	-5	8	-13	13.9	13.7	0.23	15.4	16.2	-0.85
Kawhi Leonard	77	77	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.34	-2	5	-7	13.7	14.3	-0.63	15.6	16.2	-0.67
Ivica Zubac	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.13	8	-5	13	13.7	13.9	-0.23	16.2	15.4	0.85
Maurice Harkless	51	50	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	-2	7	13.5	14.2	-0.74	15.3	16.1	-0.80
Terance Mann	3	2	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	5	-7	13.0	13.9	-0.87	5.5	15.9	-10.44
Jerome Robinson	2	2	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	20.5	13.7	6.78	18.5	15.7	2.80
Rodney McGruder	29	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.01	-10	13	-23	14.8	13.5	1.30	14.9	16.1	-1.13
JaMychal Green	37	36	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.07	-12	15	-27	14.7	13.4	1.35	15.6	15.8	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.15,0.21,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.54,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 81, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.96,1	91.7%
GSW 119, MIN 125	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.06,0.08,0.54,0.47,0.55,0.84,0.96,1	90.7%
CHI 104, BOS 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	90.4%