inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 122 Excitement10.7 [52] MVPDavis Bertans (WAS): +65.8%
San Antonio Spurs 124 Comeback3.3 [605] LVPBradley Beal (WAS): -19.8%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Davis Bertans0.660,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.660.280.430.057121%0.6600.00580%0.00
Ish Smith0.160,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.16,0.160.100.070.011368%0.181-0.02250%-0.01
Isaiah Thomas0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.02-0.001457%0.122-0.0600%0.00
Moritz Wagner0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.030.00764%0.082-0.0400%0.00
Isaac Bonga0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00444%0.0100.0010%-0.04
Rui Hachimura0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.01-0.001457%0.092-0.0800%0.00
Admiral Schofield0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Thomas Bryant-0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.070.011142%-0.022-0.11250%-0.04
Bradley Beal-0.200,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.27,-0.2-0.05-0.16-0.012544%-0.123-0.08786%0.08

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.480.480.030.480.022450%0.511-0.024100%0.03
Derrick White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.090.140.00683%0.2300.0000%0.00
Dejounte Murray0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.070.10-0.001558%0.191-0.023100%0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.10-0.00-0.001766%0.243-0.14771%-0.01
Patty Mills0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.030.040.00560%0.0800.0000%0.00
Lonnie Walker IV0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.030.001100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.04-0.00944%0.0400.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.020.020.01-0.01-0.011457%0.123-0.1100%0.00
Jakob Poeltl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00735%0.021-0.06367%-0.01
Trey Lyles0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.020.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Marco Belinelli0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.040.00520%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.71.026.114.728.81.730.5128.4
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.4134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +45.4%
WAS -11.5%
SAS +9.4%
SAS +7.1%
WAS -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASSASNBAWASSASNBA
this game14.614.014.2120.8122.8109.6
season13.714.1109.8110.8
opponent14.214.0112.0114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.815.014.915.814.6
SAS14.413.313.914.214.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Moritz Wagner40400.26-0.761.030.154-61013.515.2-1.7513.114.5-1.47
Isaac Bonga57570.24-0.740.970.037-91614.015.2-1.1913.814.2-0.39
Admiral Schofield21190.10-0.600.700.042-4611.415.4-4.0113.014.2-1.18
Isaiah Thomas44440.02-0.520.54-0.042-4613.715.2-1.4712.914.8-1.82
Ish Smith5959-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.41-31-415.213.71.5214.613.01.56
Davis Bertans6969-0.560.06-0.63-0.39-64-1014.514.7-0.1513.514.9-1.38
Rui Hachimura7777-0.650.15-0.79-0.50-53-815.212.62.5314.412.61.75
Bradley Beal7779-0.650.15-0.80-0.50-53-815.212.42.8614.412.51.93
Thomas Bryant6161-0.760.26-1.03-0.59-64-1015.213.51.7514.513.11.47

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge68670.59-0.090.680.445-3814.612.52.1014.914.00.88
DeMar DeRozan74730.55-0.050.600.5211014.512.61.9215.113.02.10
Derrick White41430.55-0.050.600.376-41014.113.80.2713.815.1-1.29
Rudy Gay58580.490.010.480.52-13-413.314.9-1.6114.015.3-1.34
Bryn Forbes64640.450.050.400.363-1414.413.21.1715.612.82.75
Dejounte Murray49470.270.230.030.125-3813.514.4-0.9115.613.62.03
Trey Lyles36360.200.30-0.10-0.017-51215.213.22.0015.014.30.74
Patty Mills4343-0.110.61-0.720.10-79-1613.614.3-0.7012.715.9-3.27
Lonnie Walker IV1110-0.140.64-0.78-0.05-35-812.214.2-2.0017.014.32.71
Marco Belinelli2930-0.150.65-0.80-0.06-35-812.814.4-1.5912.815.3-2.54
Jakob Poeltl3234-0.210.71-0.92-0.12-35-812.914.4-1.5014.014.9-0.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.47,0.37,0.42,0.41,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.37,0.43,0.82,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 86, HOU 880.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.33,0.73,191.9%
ORL 99, ATL 1030.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.55,0.36,0.55,0.73,191.6%
DET 115, ATL 1180.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.63,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.21,0.32,0.83,191.3%