NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	5.6 [662]		MVP	Jabari Parker (ATL): +16.2%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	1.8 [480]		LVP	Markieff Morris (DET): -12.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Parker	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.15	0.03	0.02	11	78%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.01	8	78%	0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.03	0.04	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Fernando	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	58%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	15	58%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Trae Young	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.16	-0.05	0.06	21	70%	0.24	6	-0.19	12	83%	-0.00
Alex Len	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Reddish	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	6	7%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.00	-0.00	16	73%	0.20	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Tony Snell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	12	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	12	70%	0.07	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	11	32%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.6	25.4	14.8	27.3	3.2	38.7	135.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +62.4%

DET -10.6%

ATL +1.5%

DET -3.3%

ATL +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	15.3	14.2	118.2	103.1	109.6
season	13.8	15.1		106.6	108.3
opponent	14.2	14.0		111.7	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.3	14.5	14.7	14.0	14.1
DET	15.5	16.2	17.3	12.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	46	43	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	4	9	14.6	13.7	0.87	15.8	14.9	0.96
Trae Young	77	76	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	0	17	14.4	13.2	1.15	15.1	15.9	-0.80
Cameron Reddish	44	43	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.00	11	6	5	14.4	13.9	0.44	15.8	14.9	0.96
DeAndre' Bembry	49	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	6	5	14.3	13.9	0.37	14.7	15.8	-1.07
Vince Carter	20	21	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	7	3	13.7	14.2	-0.53	17.0	14.8	2.26
Bruno Fernando	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	10	-3	16.2	13.4	2.81	16.8	14.7	2.08
Evan Turner	36	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.03	7	10	-3	14.1	14.1	0.03	15.2	15.3	-0.05
John Collins	64	61	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	13	-9	13.7	15.0	-1.32	15.0	15.8	-0.79
De'Andre Hunter	54	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.16	9	8	1	12.5	16.1	-3.61	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Alex Len	51	51	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	16	-15	13.8	14.5	-0.69	14.6	16.0	-1.41
Kevin Huerter	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.17	-5	22	-27	15.1	13.7	1.42	14.5	15.6	-1.09

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	32	33	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.04	-1	-16	15	15.6	15.1	0.47	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Langston Galloway	52	51	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-15	13	15.4	15.1	0.31	14.6	13.6	1.04
Luke Kennard	61	63	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-14	11	15.2	15.3	-0.09	14.3	13.8	0.50
Tim Frazier	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.11	-10	-7	-3	14.5	15.5	-0.96	14.1	14.1	0.03
Thon Maker	37	41	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-16	15	15.1	15.4	-0.32	14.4	13.9	0.50
Andre Drummond	77	76	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.14	-15	-2	-13	14.9	16.8	-1.98	13.9	14.7	-0.80
Markieff Morris	54	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.12	-14	-3	-11	16.1	14.3	1.80	13.7	14.6	-0.94
Bruce Brown	34	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-3	-11	16.2	14.8	1.38	13.7	14.4	-0.71
Derrick Rose	50	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-9	1	14.8	15.8	-0.99	14.7	13.5	1.24
Tony Snell	67	70	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	0	-17	15.1	15.6	-0.51	14.0	14.4	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.28,0.33,0.44,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 106, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
PHI 106, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0	93.6%
CHI 105, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%