NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	112		Excitement	9.5 [127]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (BOS): +48.6%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.6 [777]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -14.8%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
TJ Leaf	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.06	-0.00	7	80%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.05	0.02	13	77%	0.31	3	-0.22	9	78%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.05	0.02	12	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.2,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	55%	0.10	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	55%	0.08	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,-0.01,0.11,0.11,-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Doug McDermott	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	39%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.49	0.49	0.15	0.36	0.02	22	61%	0.50	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.06
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.01	15	59%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	10	73%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	0.00	10	65%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.02	7	69%	0.16	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	69%	0.10	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.17,0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	5	60%	0.17	2	-0.32	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.3	26.6	14.5	24.4	1.6	31.8	127.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +70.8%

BOS +8.9%

IND -14.9%

IND -17.6%

BOS +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	13.7	14.3	115.5	116.3	109.3
season	14.5	13.9		108.4	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.6		106.3	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.0	14.2	18.0	16.8	15.9
BOS	13.3	12.5	14.8	14.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Domantas Sabonis	41	43	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-6	10	16.4	15.5	0.87	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Darren Collison	55	57	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-5	8	15.6	16.2	-0.66	13.9	13.4	0.42
Wesley Matthews	56	55	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.29	9	-11	20	15.4	16.5	-1.03	13.9	13.4	0.43
TJ Leaf	25	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-2	2	15.8	15.9	-0.09	13.0	13.9	-0.93
Doug McDermott	31	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	16.4	15.6	0.72	12.9	14.1	-1.20
Bojan Bogdanovic	66	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-3	4	15.6	16.4	-0.72	14.1	12.9	1.20
Thaddeus Young	60	59	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.35	-4	2	-6	15.7	16.2	-0.48	13.8	13.5	0.28
Cory Joseph	42	41	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.32	-5	3	-8	16.2	15.6	0.66	13.4	13.9	-0.42
Myles Turner	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	15.7	16.1	-0.39	13.9	13.1	0.84
Tyreke Evans	41	43	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	9	-20	16.5	15.4	1.03	13.4	13.9	-0.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	47	49	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.34	16	-14	30	13.3	14.0	-0.70	16.2	15.5	0.68
Kyrie Irving	69	71	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.37	15	-13	28	14.0	12.9	1.07	15.8	16.0	-0.13
Al Horford	73	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-9	20	12.9	16.0	-3.11	15.9	15.9	-0.03
Aron Baynes	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.28	4	-2	6	14.0	13.0	0.99	15.5	16.8	-1.30
Jaylen Brown	55	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.50	-7	9	-16	13.7	13.7	-0.02	16.1	15.5	0.59
Marcus Smart	59	58	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	-2	6	13.7	13.6	0.11	15.8	16.0	-0.18
Gordon Hayward	47	45	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.37	-12	14	-26	13.7	13.7	-0.05	15.0	16.6	-1.62
Terry Rozier	32	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	7	-12	13.1	14.0	-0.92	16.4	15.6	0.77
Marcus Morris	40	39	-0.54	1.04	-1.58	-0.07	-16	18	-34	15.0	12.8	2.18	16.5	15.4	1.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.6,0.78,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.41,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 71, LAL 72	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.43,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.32,0.26,1	89.8%
SAC 102, MIN 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.57,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.69,0.73,1	89.8%
IND 88, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.09,1	89.5%