NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Excitement	7.0 [473]		MVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): +11.3%
Charlotte Hornets	113		Comeback	1.9 [852]		LVP	Tyus Jones (MIN): -11.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cameron Reynolds	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	53%	0.09	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.04
Anthony Tolliver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	15	54%	0.12	3	-0.11	7	43%	-0.06
Keita Bates-Diop	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	11	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jerryd Bayless	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	17	52%	0.05	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Tyus Jones	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	0.07	15	45%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	6	108%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.03	-0.02	6	77%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.00	10	70%	0.12	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	42%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	22	55%	0.12	5	-0.13	12	83%	0.02
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.04	-0.01	8	22%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.01	20	32%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	32.4	14.7	26.2	1.7	37.5	138.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +9.4%

CHA +11.3%

CHA +17.1%

CHA +12.7%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CHA	NBA	MIN	CHA	NBA
this game	13.6	14.3	14.3	101.9	109.7	109.3
season	14.4	14.6		110.2	110.4
opponent	14.3	14.0		111.6	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	13.7	15.1	12.3	13.6
CHA	16.2	13.0	12.6	15.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-4	1	13.0	13.8	-0.80	14.8	14.0	0.81
Anthony Tolliver	40	39	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	13.2	13.8	-0.57	14.8	13.9	0.96
Cameron Reynolds	21	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-5	3	12.5	13.8	-1.32	14.2	14.3	-0.07
Jerryd Bayless	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-5	3	13.0	13.9	-0.86	14.7	14.0	0.72
Keita Bates-Diop	33	33	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.00	-6	-1	-5	13.8	13.5	0.31	13.6	14.6	-1.00
Andrew Wiggins	80	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-8	9	13.5	13.7	-0.17	14.7	12.6	2.12
Dario Saric	61	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	13.8	13.3	0.55	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Josh Okogie	70	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-2	-3	13.9	13.0	0.86	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Karl-Anthony Towns	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	0	-7	13.8	13.0	0.86	14.1	14.7	-0.68
Tyus Jones	74	73	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.20	-9	2	-11	13.8	13.0	0.86	14.1	14.7	-0.68

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	51	51	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	14.4	14.1	0.35	12.9	14.2	-1.32
Willy Hernangomez	52	52	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.24	6	1	5	12.7	15.8	-3.03	13.7	13.4	0.31
Kemba Walker	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	1	5	13.9	15.1	-1.22	13.9	12.8	1.04
Marvin Williams	54	54	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.15	7	0	7	13.6	15.0	-1.46	13.9	13.2	0.69
Miles Bridges	66	66	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	6	-5	13.5	15.5	-2.01	13.8	13.1	0.74
Jeremy Lamb	62	63	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	4	-1	14.7	13.6	1.03	13.0	14.5	-1.46
Frank Kaminsky	18	18	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	3	1	17.1	13.6	3.46	10.9	14.1	-3.25
Devonte' Graham	28	29	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	6	-5	15.1	13.9	1.22	12.8	13.9	-1.04
Dwayne Bacon	38	39	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.07	2	5	-3	14.3	14.2	0.10	14.9	12.8	2.15
Malik Monk	40	42	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	7	-7	15.2	13.7	1.51	12.7	14.2	-1.49
Bismack Biyombo	31	31	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	12	-17	15.5	13.7	1.76	15.5	12.8	2.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.67,0.52,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.51,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 95, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.88,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.3%
HOU 73, PHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.67,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%
POR 89, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.71,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.93,0.97,1,1,1	93.1%