NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	90		Excitement	7.0 [477]		MVP	Chasson Randle (WAS): +24.4%
Washington Wizards	100		Comeback	1.8 [699]		LVP	Terrence Ross (ORL): -22.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerian Grant	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	54%	0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.04	9	44%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wes Iwundu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.02	15	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.02	17	56%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	-0.08	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.10	-0.13	0.00	13	26%	-0.18	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chasson Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.10	-0.02	7	93%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.09	0.03	12	81%	0.24	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.00	12	73%	0.17	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.07
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	22	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Portis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	8	12%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	2.0	25.4	14.6	23.5	1.8	28.2	117.4
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +36.4%

ORL -2.3%

WAS +3.0%

WAS +12.5%

WAS +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	WAS	NBA	ORL	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.4	14.3	95.7	109.9	109.3
season	14.9	13.8		107.2	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.3		112.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.2	16.7	14.2	17.0	15.7
WAS	14.8	14.6	16.5	15.7	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Isaac	55	53	0.16	-0.66	0.83	0.02	5	-15	20	15.9	15.4	0.51	15.3	15.6	-0.27
Nikola Vucevic	66	64	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	16.5	13.8	2.72	15.6	14.8	0.83
Evan Fournier	62	61	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.17	3	-13	16	15.8	15.6	0.26	15.7	14.9	0.79
D.J. Augustin	64	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-10	10	16.6	13.9	2.64	15.1	16.1	-1.08
Jerian Grant	30	28	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	0	-10	13.9	16.6	-2.64	16.1	15.1	1.08
Wes Iwundu	43	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	15.0	16.4	-1.40	15.2	15.5	-0.32
Khem Birch	28	27	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.06	-15	5	-20	13.8	16.5	-2.72	14.8	15.6	-0.83
Terrence Ross	57	55	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.11	-17	7	-24	15.4	16.3	-0.88	15.5	15.3	0.19
Aaron Gordon	65	63	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.26	-13	3	-16	16.3	14.5	1.76	15.3	15.6	-0.36

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chasson Randle	41	43	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.20	23	-13	36	14.6	16.1	-1.47	15.6	15.9	-0.28
Jabari Parker	53	56	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.07	21	-11	32	15.0	16.0	-0.99	15.2	16.5	-1.29
Thomas Bryant	49	51	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.10	18	-8	26	14.9	15.9	-0.99	15.2	16.3	-1.13
Troy Brown Jr.	33	34	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.13	9	1	8	15.3	15.4	-0.10	15.2	16.0	-0.87
Tomas Satoransky	67	70	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.21	-2	12	-14	15.8	14.2	1.56	16.7	12.9	3.78
Bradley Beal	76	77	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.09	-2	12	-14	15.4	15.3	0.15	15.2	18.1	-2.91
Trevor Ariza	42	43	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	11	-12	15.4	15.4	-0.03	16.5	15.1	1.35
Bobby Portis	42	43	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	18	-26	15.9	14.9	0.99	16.3	15.2	1.13
Jeff Green	52	53	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	18	-26	15.9	14.7	1.28	15.7	15.8	-0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.4,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.74,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 106, PHX 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	93.9%
SAC 100, SAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.99,1,1	92.8%
SAS 90, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.7,0.83,0.93,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.5%