inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 125 Excitement9.9 [99] MVPThon Maker (DET): +28.0%
Atlanta Hawks 122 Comeback11.0 [169] LVPWayne Ellington (DET): -5.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Thon Maker0.280,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.280.040.23-0.00856%0.2800.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond0.250,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.250.070.180.001362%0.312-0.051650%-0.08
Reggie Jackson0.240,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.240.200.050.012264%0.2400.00683%0.02
Ish Smith0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.000.05-0.031048%0.111-0.031100%0.01
Bruce Brown0.070,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.070.020.050.011152%0.091-0.031100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.000100%0.0200.002100%0.01
Jon Leuer0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.001150%0.111-0.0900%0.00
Luke Kennard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00658%0.031-0.0300%0.00
Blake Griffin-0.000,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.001354%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Langston Galloway-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Wayne Ellington-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.050.021045%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.170.170.100.06-0.00880%0.221-0.05475%-0.00
John Collins0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.080.011651%0.1500.00580%0.01
DeAndre' Bembry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.030.060.00671%0.142-0.05250%-0.01
Alex Len0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.06-0.000.003133%0.112-0.0600%0.00
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00967%0.113-0.083100%0.04
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.070.02-0.07935%0.072-0.052100%0.05
Jaylen Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.001150%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Omari Spellman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.010.00350%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Trae Young0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.28,-0.02-0.020.09-0.060.052361%0.174-0.203100%0.03
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.020.011060%0.053-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.41.729.514.532.52.332.6138.6
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +4.0%
DET +4.8%
DET +8.7%
DET +32.8%
ATL -0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game14.613.614.3122.5119.6109.3
season15.313.6107.5107.2
opponent13.914.0112.6109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET13.615.212.517.614.6
ATL13.012.015.214.413.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Wayne Ellington79791.09-0.591.670.3824-214513.618.2-4.5514.311.23.06
Andre Drummond83840.99-0.491.490.4120-173713.718.9-5.2214.111.13.08
Reggie Jackson73720.80-0.301.100.3316-132914.215.8-1.6014.212.12.16
Bruce Brown69680.70-0.200.900.2914-112514.115.8-1.6414.511.82.69
Blake Griffin52530.56-0.060.62-0.0621-183912.217.2-4.9314.312.81.49
Thon Maker39380.180.32-0.150.73-1922-4116.913.33.6411.814.7-2.91
Luke Kennard3535-0.250.75-1.000.13-1316-2915.214.30.8911.614.6-2.98
Jon Leuer1213-0.320.82-1.13-0.26-25-718.214.24.0814.513.41.09
Langston Galloway1718-0.360.86-1.220.08-1518-3316.614.22.4010.814.2-3.41
Zaza Pachulia1615-0.360.86-1.22-0.01-1215-2720.413.66.7912.313.8-1.47
Ish Smith3535-0.531.03-1.560.03-1922-4116.913.43.5012.214.3-2.16

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vince Carter33340.21-0.710.91-0.2917-203711.914.4-2.4417.113.43.62
Alex Len44440.02-0.520.54-0.104-71112.614.3-1.7514.314.9-0.54
Jaylen Adams27260.01-0.510.52-0.021-4512.214.1-1.9113.315.1-1.85
DeAndre' Bembry3837-0.00-0.500.49-0.217-101712.614.2-1.5715.614.11.44
Omari Spellman3938-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-2113.513.7-0.2115.714.01.74
Dewayne Dedmon4748-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.16-52-714.113.20.8814.914.40.43
John Collins7273-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.27-41-514.012.61.4514.315.6-1.26
Trae Young7677-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.39-1-2114.012.41.5614.913.71.23
Kent Bazemore7271-0.750.25-0.99-0.28-1613-2914.212.12.0614.016.2-2.27
Taurean Prince6262-0.760.26-1.01-0.26-1714-3114.412.32.1213.616.3-2.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.77,0.76,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.27,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.38,0.63,0.84,0.84,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 88, SAS 860.5,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.69,0.7,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.55,0.82,089.2%
DET 89, WAS 860.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.19,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.57,0.58,088.8%
SAS 99, NOH 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.39,0.35,0.23,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.58,088.4%