NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	111		Excitement	5.9 [681]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (IND): +26.2%
Indiana Pacers	126		Comeback	12.0 [279]		LVP	Julius Randle (NOP): -7.3%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cheick Diallo	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	7	76%	0.12	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	60%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Elfrid Payton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	10	68%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	12	48%	0.03	1	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Frank Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	10	33%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenrich Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	-0.06	10	30%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	11	54%	0.02	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Stanley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.01	-0.07	7	27%	-0.00	4	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Julius Randle	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	11	60%	0.08	5	-0.15	3	67%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.08	-0.03	14	73%	0.30	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.10	-0.01	9	74%	0.24	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.01	9	72%	0.24	1	-0.02	7	57%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	14	62%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	57%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	18	39%	-0.02	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.3	30.5	15.7	34.1	2.3	30.7	139.2
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +25.5%

IND +13.7%

NOP -10.4%

IND +20.7%

IND +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	IND	NBA	NOP	IND	NBA
this game	13.4	14.1	14.3	105.7	120.0	109.3
season	13.4	14.5		110.2	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.2		105.7	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	12.4	13.6	14.0	13.5	13.4
IND	12.9	17.1	13.1	13.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cheick Diallo	57	58	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-14	13	12.8	14.1	-1.29	14.7	13.3	1.35
Jrue Holiday	53	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-15	15	12.3	14.4	-2.10	15.0	13.0	2.00
Anthony Davis	44	45	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	-14	13	13.3	13.4	-0.11	13.4	14.6	-1.17
Kenrich Williams	74	75	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-11	7	12.6	15.3	-2.74	13.8	14.7	-0.89
Stanley Johnson	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	-8	1	13.0	13.6	-0.66	13.5	14.5	-0.94
E'Twaun Moore	44	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-5	-5	14.7	12.4	2.31	13.1	14.7	-1.58
Jahlil Okafor	33	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.07	-15	0	-15	15.2	12.5	2.70	13.7	14.2	-0.49
Frank Jackson	57	56	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	0	-15	14.2	12.4	1.82	14.3	13.8	0.51
Julius Randle	58	55	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-4	-7	13.7	12.9	0.85	14.0	14.2	-0.18
Elfrid Payton	61	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.14	-11	-4	-7	13.0	13.8	-0.82	14.5	13.4	1.10

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
TJ Leaf	31	31	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.19	14	1	13	13.2	14.4	-1.28	14.7	12.8	1.87
Domantas Sabonis	61	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	0	15	13.4	15.0	-1.68	13.9	12.5	1.40
Cory Joseph	49	49	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.17	9	6	3	13.7	14.4	-0.78	14.8	12.1	2.65
Tyreke Evans	41	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	6	3	13.7	14.3	-0.59	14.3	12.8	1.52
Doug McDermott	41	43	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	-3	21	13.4	14.5	-1.11	13.9	13.0	0.96
Bojan Bogdanovic	55	54	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	17	-19	14.9	13.2	1.73	13.2	13.5	-0.29
Darren Collison	62	62	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.14	7	8	-1	14.4	13.6	0.86	12.5	14.6	-2.14
Kyle O'Quinn	44	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	15	-15	15.0	13.4	1.68	12.5	13.9	-1.40
Wesley Matthews	67	67	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.07	4	11	-7	14.0	14.2	-0.18	12.3	15.2	-2.86
Thaddeus Young	74	74	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.13	1	14	-13	14.4	13.2	1.28	12.8	14.7	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.21,0.17,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.95,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, NYK 120	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	92.5%
LAC 105, DAL 112	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.9%
TOR 90, IND 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.25,0.27,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.88,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	91.9%