NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	112		Excitement	4.8 [903]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): +21.0%
Dallas Mavericks	101		Comeback	1.8 [455]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): -12.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.06	-0.05	14	69%	0.24	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Dion Waiters	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
James Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	7	80%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	83%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	44%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	12	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Justise Winslow	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bam Adebayo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	4	83%	0.05	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	7	73%	0.11	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.02	0.06	15	61%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	14	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	4	60%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	-0.04	17	44%	0.05	6	-0.11	7	71%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	7	31%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.7	29.5	13.7	29.6	2.4	30.6	130.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +60.4%

DAL -1.6%

DAL -1.9%

DAL -7.3%

MIA +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	DAL	NBA	MIA	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.3	114.3	103.1	109.3
season	14.8	14.7		106.3	108.5
opponent	14.1	14.3		109.7	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.1	12.5	12.8	17.1	14.3
DAL	13.7	15.8	16.6	14.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justise Winslow	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-6	23	14.2	14.5	-0.24	15.4	14.3	1.10
Josh Richardson	71	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	0	11	14.4	14.1	0.32	15.1	15.0	0.06
Kelly Olynyk	43	41	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	1	9	14.6	14.1	0.49	15.7	14.7	0.99
Bam Adebayo	53	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.12	7	4	3	14.2	14.4	-0.17	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Dion Waiters	61	60	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	8	-5	15.0	13.2	1.75	15.7	14.1	1.59
Dwyane Wade	46	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	7	-3	13.8	14.7	-0.90	14.4	15.7	-1.34
James Johnson	53	56	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	10	-9	14.3	14.3	-0.01	14.4	16.0	-1.52
Hassan Whiteside	45	44	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.2	15.0	0.22
Rodney McGruder	52	52	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	13	-15	13.7	15.0	-1.27	14.8	15.4	-0.67

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	17	16	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	-8	5	15.1	15.1	-0.03	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Trey Burke	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-13	15	12.4	15.5	-3.04	15.7	14.1	1.55
Courtney Lee	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-13	15	12.4	15.5	-3.04	15.8	14.1	1.69
Ryan Broekhoff	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.07	2	-13	15	12.9	15.5	-2.64	16.9	13.8	3.12
Justin Jackson	27	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-12	13	14.4	15.4	-0.98	13.9	14.5	-0.52
Jalen Brunson	48	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-13	15	15.1	15.1	0.04	13.9	14.6	-0.71
Maxi Kleber	52	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.08	-4	-7	3	16.3	13.7	2.53	13.9	14.7	-0.84
Dorian Finney-Smith	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-6	1	15.6	14.3	1.36	14.6	14.0	0.58
Dirk Nowitzki	33	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	14.5	15.4	-0.95	13.9	14.5	-0.55
Tim Hardaway Jr.	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	15.3	14.7	0.56	14.3	14.3	0.07
Dwight Powell	53	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	0	-11	14.4	15.9	-1.45	14.5	14.1	0.35
Devin Harris	36	36	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	2	-15	15.5	14.9	0.62	13.1	15.0	-1.84
Luka Doncic	67	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.9	13.4	2.48	14.4	14.2	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.46,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.52,0.45,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 109, NJN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
PHI 105, CHA 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%
MIN 84, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%