NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	8.2 [281]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +31.7%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	40.5 [36]		LVP	Damian Lillard (POR): -33.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.01	11	82%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	3	70%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.06
Meyers Leonard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	7	64%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	17	39%	0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	7	31%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.04
Damian Lillard	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.05,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.15,-0.07,-0.33	0.05	-0.38	-0.00	23	60%	-0.08	5	-0.25	4	100%	0.06

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.43,0.32	0.32	0.09	0.21	-0.02	20	58%	0.36	3	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.00	18	59%	0.16	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.03
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	-0.08	0.02	6	65%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Broekhoff	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.05	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.01	8	31%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.6	27.9	14.8	28.7	1.8	28.5	129.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +12.2%

DAL +19.9%

DAL +2.6%

DAL +18.8%

POR -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.3	100.0	102.0	109.3
season	14.9	14.7		112.6	108.5
opponent	14.1	13.9		109.7	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.4	11.9	14.3	15.5	14.0
DAL	12.8	15.3	16.3	14.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	30	30	0.46	-0.96	1.43	-0.01	16	-17	33	13.8	14.1	-0.30	16.9	13.7	3.17
Rodney Hood	51	48	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.16	13	-14	27	13.7	14.3	-0.63	16.0	13.4	2.62
Meyers Leonard	17	17	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.08	2	-3	5	15.7	13.6	2.07	15.3	14.6	0.74
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	48	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.13	-5	4	-9	13.9	14.1	-0.24	13.9	15.4	-1.51
Seth Curry	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	0	-1	13.0	14.3	-1.25	15.9	14.3	1.58
Zach Collins	38	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.51	11	-12	23	12.6	14.8	-2.20	16.4	13.7	2.76
Damian Lillard	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-3	5	14.0	13.8	0.19	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Jusuf Nurkic	46	47	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.03	-14	13	-27	14.5	13.6	0.91	13.1	16.1	-2.97
Jake Layman	52	52	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.60	4	-5	9	14.1	13.9	0.24	15.4	13.9	1.51
Maurice Harkless	50	52	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.31	-14	13	-27	14.3	13.7	0.63	13.4	16.0	-2.62
CJ McCollum	73	72	-1.00	0.50	-1.50	-0.44	-19	18	-37	14.3	13.1	1.21	13.8	17.0	-3.22

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	68	69	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.46	17	-16	33	14.3	15.5	-1.25	13.8	14.3	-0.44
Dwight Powell	51	54	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.38	13	-12	25	15.0	14.3	0.69	15.0	12.9	2.11
Dorian Finney-Smith	75	76	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-8	17	14.2	16.0	-1.81	13.9	14.2	-0.24
Maxi Kleber	57	57	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.69	-2	3	-5	14.6	14.8	-0.24	13.4	14.7	-1.24
Luka Doncic	77	78	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.56	-4	5	-9	14.5	15.3	-0.87	14.0	14.0	-0.08
Justin Jackson	8	8	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.06	10	-9	19	13.5	14.8	-1.28	18.9	13.6	5.32
Jalen Brunson	52	52	0.12	0.39	-0.27	-0.15	9	-8	17	14.4	15.0	-0.66	14.1	13.9	0.24
Courtney Lee	17	18	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.12	-2	3	-5	15.3	14.6	0.74	15.8	13.6	2.26
Ryan Broekhoff	19	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	11	-21	16.7	14.2	2.47	11.9	14.5	-2.57
Devin Harris	15	14	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.13	-14	15	-29	15.8	14.5	1.32	12.3	14.3	-1.97
Trey Burke	34	34	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	8	-15	14.5	14.8	-0.27	14.3	13.8	0.47
Dirk Nowitzki	27	26	-0.39	0.89	-1.29	0.02	-14	15	-29	15.9	14.2	1.61	12.7	14.4	-1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.35,0.27,0.23,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.27,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 112, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.56,0.58,1	90.6%
ORL 100, PHI 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.37,0.22,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.31,0.37,0.67,0.58,1	90.1%
SAC 117, MEM 124	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.28,0.25,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.25,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.37,0.24,0.85,1	89.8%