NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	102		Excitement	7.1 [458]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +21.8%
Utah Jazz	110		Comeback	1.4 [1039]		LVP	Jae Crowder (UTA): -22.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Hutchison	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	7	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille Harrison	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	38%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	7	79%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.04	21	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	17	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	9	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	43%	0.02	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Kris Dunn	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.02	11	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.10	0.08	-0.03	24	59%	0.24	2	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.12	0.08	-0.00	11	73%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	6	71%	0.19	5	-0.11	9	56%	-0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	8	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.04	0.04	14	57%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.17	-0.07	-0.01	13	20%	-0.16	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.3	28.6	14.4	23.4	1.7	37.3	132.1
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +48.2%

CHI -14.6%

UTA +5.6%

UTA +5.2%

UTA +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	13.6	14.3	102.0	108.9	109.3
season	14.6	14.3		104.2	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.3		105.2	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.7	14.6	16.8	15.2	15.1
UTA	14.5	14.2	13.2	12.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	27	27	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.12	8	-16	24	16.0	14.7	1.25	13.6	13.6	-0.03
Jabari Parker	38	39	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-12	16	16.1	14.4	1.70	13.8	13.5	0.34
Wayne Selden	54	54	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.25	7	-15	22	15.8	14.2	1.58	13.3	14.0	-0.76
Shaquille Harrison	28	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-8	8	16.3	14.6	1.77	13.3	13.7	-0.43
Ryan Arcidiacono	36	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.15	-3	-5	2	16.2	14.4	1.74	13.9	13.4	0.49
Zach LaVine	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.15	-7	-1	-6	14.4	16.3	-1.92	13.3	14.1	-0.78
Kris Dunn	66	65	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.09	-10	2	-12	14.2	16.7	-2.46	13.7	13.5	0.13
Chandler Hutchison	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	3	-14	14.7	15.4	-0.62	14.2	13.0	1.25
Lauri Markkanen	72	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.21	-11	3	-14	14.7	16.0	-1.37	13.7	13.5	0.18
Wendell Carter Jr.	63	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	9	-26	14.5	16.1	-1.59	13.4	13.9	-0.48

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	79	79	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.22	20	-12	32	13.7	13.3	0.38	15.1	14.9	0.18
Rudy Gobert	84	84	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.21	19	-11	30	13.6	13.9	-0.32	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Royce O'Neale	75	78	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-5	18	13.9	12.7	1.29	14.7	16.2	-1.51
Derrick Favors	58	58	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-2	12	13.7	13.5	0.22	15.8	14.0	1.73
Kyle Korver	56	52	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.17	3	5	-2	13.1	14.3	-1.26	15.2	14.9	0.30
Joe Ingles	65	65	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.04	-2	10	-12	13.2	14.4	-1.25	15.0	15.1	-0.14
Jae Crowder	54	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	12	-16	13.3	14.0	-0.76	14.9	15.2	-0.38
Grayson Allen	29	27	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.22	-11	19	-30	14.2	13.4	0.78	15.5	14.9	0.64
Georges Niang	5	5	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	19.8	13.3	6.51	10.8	15.3	-4.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.72,0.69,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.7,0.85,0.94,0.9,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 108, NJN 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.68,0.78,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.98,1	92.8%
WAS 106, TOR 114	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.44,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.69,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.4%
LAL 86, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,0.99,1	92.2%