NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	106		Excitement	9.2 [154]		MVP	Dario Saric (MIN): +25.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Comeback	2.0 [542]		LVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): -24.6%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.04	0.16	0.01	22	56%	0.28	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Julius Randle	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.06	0.11	-0.01	13	61%	0.22	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Anthony Davis	0.02	0,0,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.22,0.04,0.02	0.07	-0.05	-0.00	22	57%	0.09	3	-0.07	9	89%	0.04
Nikola Mirotic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Frank Jackson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jahlil Okafor	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.09	0.16	-0.01	7	78%	0.27	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.14	-0.00	23	52%	0.23	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.00	9	64%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Josh Okogie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	14	52%	0.13	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	-0.01	-0.05	7	71%	0.16	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	21	40%	-0.09	5	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	30.5	14.6	28.4	1.7	33.0	135.5
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +22.9%

MIN +2.1%

MIN +23.6%

MIN +2.2%

NOP -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	12.7	15.1	14.3	102.9	105.8	109.3
season	13.4	14.4		110.2	110.2
opponent	14.0	14.2		111.8	111.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	11.9	13.9	12.5	12.8	12.7
MIN	13.8	13.3	14.2	19.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elfrid Payton	60	61	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.15	7	-11	18	12.2	13.5	-1.35	14.2	16.3	-2.11
Frank Jackson	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.09	-4	0	-4	12.9	12.7	0.24	14.9	15.2	-0.28
Darius Miller	42	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.07	1	-5	6	12.4	13.0	-0.62	14.8	15.3	-0.47
Jahlil Okafor	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-1	-2	13.5	12.7	0.82	17.4	14.9	2.50
Tim Frazier	15	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	5	-14	14.3	12.5	1.86	11.4	15.6	-4.29
Anthony Davis	79	79	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-5	6	12.6	13.1	-0.44	14.9	15.6	-0.65
Nikola Mirotic	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.44	4	-8	12	12.3	13.3	-1.06	16.4	13.5	2.91
Julius Randle	72	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	6	-16	13.3	11.5	1.76	14.9	15.5	-0.59
E'Twaun Moore	66	68	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	0	-4	12.9	12.4	0.49	15.1	15.0	0.10
Jrue Holiday	85	85	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.45	-3	-1	-2	12.7	12.8	-0.04	15.7	12.3	3.37

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyus Jones	58	58	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-7	18	16.5	13.2	3.32	13.1	12.4	0.70
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	79	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.43	7	-3	10	15.8	12.6	3.18	12.7	12.9	-0.17
Josh Okogie	90	89	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	0	4	15.0	15.7	-0.75	12.9	11.9	0.95
Andrew Wiggins	85	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	4	-4	15.5	13.1	2.47	12.5	13.9	-1.47
Luol Deng	10	9	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.08	12	-8	20	11.2	15.5	-4.28	17.8	12.3	5.51
Taj Gibson	59	58	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.33	-4	8	-12	15.3	14.8	0.43	12.5	13.0	-0.49
Dario Saric	35	36	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	8	-12	15.9	14.7	1.19	11.8	13.2	-1.41
Jeff Teague	51	49	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.01	-1	5	-6	13.3	16.8	-3.52	13.0	12.6	0.40
Anthony Tolliver	28	29	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	-0.02	-2	6	-8	14.2	15.4	-1.12	12.2	13.0	-0.80
Gorgui Dieng	24	24	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	-0.05	-3	7	-10	12.6	15.8	-3.18	12.9	12.7	0.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.37,0.42,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 82, PHX 90	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.71,0.94,1,1	92.4%
PHX 108, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.78,0.83,1	91.9%
DET 102, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.64,0.55,0.43,0.41,0.55,0.52,0.37,0.64,0.58,0.43,0.48,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.6,0.45,0.63,0.89,1,1	91.9%