NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	93		Excitement	4.2 [1011]		MVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): +9.2%
Boston Celtics	114		Comeback	1.0 [1007]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -9.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.01	0.03	6	86%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luka Doncic	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	16	56%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	69%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.13	-0.02	0.14	12	71%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
J.J. Barea	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	8	30%	-0.02	3	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	12	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.18	-0.00	-0.09	10	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	15	68%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Wanamaker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	-0.03	0.06	11	77%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.06	21	43%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Semi Ojeleye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.02	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.01	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Dozier	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	15	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	9	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	3.4	26.7	15.3	27.4	2.7	27.0	125.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.7%

DAL -1.6%

BOS +9.2%

BOS +11.3%

BOS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	BOS	NBA	DAL	BOS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	14.3	93.0	114.0	109.3
season	14.7	13.9		108.5	109.9
opponent	14.7	14.1		106.3	109.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.8	14.2	15.5	12.6	14.3
BOS	12.9	14.6	14.5	16.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	6	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.18	-6	-15	9	12.0	14.4	-2.40	12.6	14.6	-2.04
Harrison Barnes	63	63	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-23	25	14.6	13.7	0.93	16.1	11.9	4.20
Luka Doncic	57	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-24	27	14.5	14.0	0.46	16.1	12.5	3.56
J.J. Barea	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.20	-14	-7	-7	14.5	14.1	0.37	12.6	15.8	-3.20
Wesley Matthews	58	59	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.33	4	-25	29	14.7	13.7	0.94	16.3	12.0	4.31
DeAndre Jordan	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-22	23	14.5	13.8	0.72	16.0	12.2	3.79
Dwight Powell	39	39	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.37	-22	1	-23	13.8	14.5	-0.72	12.2	16.0	-3.79
Dorian Finney-Smith	42	41	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.45	-25	4	-29	13.7	14.7	-0.94	12.0	16.3	-4.31
Devin Harris	34	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-6	-9	14.5	14.1	0.36	12.8	15.5	-2.75
Dennis Smith Jr.	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-11	1	14.0	14.7	-0.64	15.5	12.9	2.66
Dirk Nowitzki	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.37	-23	2	-25	13.7	14.6	-0.93	11.9	16.1	-4.20

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	60	60	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.10	20	1	19	14.0	15.4	-1.39	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Terry Rozier	57	55	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	10	1	15.4	13.4	1.97	14.8	13.6	1.12
Daniel Theis	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.30	20	1	19	13.1	15.9	-2.80	14.6	13.9	0.68
Jayson Tatum	63	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.16	3	18	-15	15.5	12.9	2.66	14.5	13.8	0.67
Marcus Smart	65	64	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.22	1	20	-19	15.2	13.3	1.93	14.7	13.4	1.32
Semi Ojeleye	37	37	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.28	18	3	15	12.9	15.5	-2.66	13.8	14.5	-0.67
Gordon Hayward	60	60	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.05	6	15	-9	15.0	13.8	1.23	14.6	13.7	0.93
Al Horford	50	50	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.19	1	20	-19	15.9	13.1	2.80	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Brad Wanamaker	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.17	13	8	5	13.1	15.9	-2.76	13.5	15.0	-1.47
Guerschon Yabusele	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	15	-9	12.6	14.6	-2.04	12.0	14.4	-2.40
PJ Dozier	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	15	-9	12.6	14.6	-2.04	12.0	14.4	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 70, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 83, IND 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DEN 97, POR 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%