NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	113		Excitement	7.3 [423]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (IND): +22.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	101		Comeback	3.8 [202]		LVP	Furkan Korkmaz (PHI): -15.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22	0.10	0.12	0.00	19	55%	0.22	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.07	0.01	13	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Cory Joseph	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	9	78%	0.12	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	80%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Victor Oladipo	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.02	16	39%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	14	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	3	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	32%	-0.06	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	19	55%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.01	-0.01	22	67%	0.29	6	-0.15	16	81%	0.02
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shake Milton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.02	8	50%	-0.07
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.01	10	30%	-0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.4	33.4	14.5	28.2	3.4	34.3	144.0
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +6.3%

IND +15.6%

IND +6.9%

IND +17.4%

IND +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	PHI	NBA	IND	PHI	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.3	111.9	103.1	109.3
season	14.5	14.0		108.4	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.6		108.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.4	13.9	15.6	15.0	14.7
PHI	13.3	12.7	17.1	14.3	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	55	52	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.08	22	-10	32	14.2	15.3	-1.10	13.7	14.8	-1.12
Domantas Sabonis	66	65	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.05	21	-9	30	14.1	15.8	-1.67	14.0	14.7	-0.67
Thaddeus Young	83	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	3	6	15.2	12.2	3.06	14.6	12.8	1.83
Bojan Bogdanovic	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.14	7	5	2	14.8	14.4	0.40	14.2	14.5	-0.34
Doug McDermott	34	32	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.02	6	6	0	14.1	15.0	-0.85	14.3	14.2	0.13
Victor Oladipo	65	63	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	10	-8	14.9	14.3	0.63	14.2	14.3	-0.09
Tyreke Evans	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	9	-6	14.0	15.1	-1.15	14.0	14.4	-0.38
Kyle O'Quinn	5	3	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.03	0	12	-12	15.0	14.7	0.33	7.0	14.5	-7.48
Darren Collison	53	54	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	16	-20	14.9	14.4	0.47	14.7	13.7	0.92
Myles Turner	32	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	18	-24	15.7	14.2	1.42	15.1	13.8	1.23

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	7	8	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.04	-2	-10	8	14.1	14.3	-0.12	13.1	14.8	-1.69
T.J. McConnell	60	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-8	4	14.4	14.1	0.29	14.1	15.6	-1.56
Landry Shamet	52	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-12	12	13.5	15.1	-1.57	13.5	16.1	-2.58
Mike Muscala	36	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-4	-4	13.6	14.6	-1.02	12.9	15.7	-2.79
Wilson Chandler	61	64	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-12	12	13.7	15.2	-1.50	15.6	13.1	2.49
Joel Embiid	67	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-8	4	14.4	13.9	0.56	15.5	12.7	2.84
JJ Redick	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	1	-14	15.0	12.4	2.61	15.0	13.9	1.08
Ben Simmons	79	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.09	-13	1	-14	14.2	14.5	-0.27	14.7	14.6	0.14
Furkan Korkmaz	58	61	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.30	-16	4	-20	14.8	13.5	1.28	15.3	13.8	1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.52,0.63,0.4,0.51,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.07,0.03,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, LAL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.41,0.4,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.04,0	91.6%
PHX 95, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.19,0.1,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	91.5%
PHI 112, WAS 105	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.55,0.44,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.1,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.02,0	91.2%