NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	132		Excitement	10.6 [65]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +75.7%
Philadelphia 76ers	133		Comeback	17.6 [133]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -9.1%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.34,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.26	0.02	0.21	-0.03	29	44%	0.26	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Cody Zeller	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.01	8	64%	0.20	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Dwayne Bacon	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.01	0.03	7	83%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.01	12	65%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Willy Hernangomez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.06	9	58%	-0.00	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	8	52%	-0.03	0	0.00	7	86%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	19	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.02,0.08,0.16,0.62,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.76,0.76	0.76	0.24	0.53	0.02	18	72%	0.87	3	-0.12	22	86%	0.22
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	61%	0.14	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.04
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	16	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Jonah Bolden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	44%	-0.00	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.03
Landry Shamet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	8	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dario Saric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	-0.00	13	64%	0.12	5	-0.21	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	2.4	28.5	15.2	26.6	2.5	47.2	1.8	18.4	169.8
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.2%

PHI +24.7%

PHI +10.5%

CHA -29.8%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHI	NBA	CHA	PHI	NBA
this game	14.2	13.5	14.3	114.8	116.7	109.3
season	14.6	14.0		110.4	110.9
opponent	14.1	14.3		108.1	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHA	14.0	13.5	14.5	15.0	14.5	14.2
PHI	13.2	12.7	13.8	14.4	14.0	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cody Zeller	55	53	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.37	5	-6	11	14.4	14.1	0.33	13.5	13.6	-0.03
Dwayne Bacon	49	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.21	10	-11	21	13.4	14.9	-1.50	14.0	13.2	0.81
Jeremy Lamb	54	55	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.11	5	-6	11	13.9	14.5	-0.67	13.1	14.0	-0.95
Malik Monk	58	57	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-4	7	13.8	14.6	-0.84	14.4	12.7	1.65
Marvin Williams	32	31	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.26	-13	12	-25	15.7	13.7	2.07	13.3	13.6	-0.30
Tony Parker	30	29	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	5	-11	14.0	14.3	-0.35	14.2	13.3	0.89
Nicolas Batum	36	37	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	8	-17	15.9	13.4	2.50	11.9	14.3	-2.45
Bismack Biyombo	10	10	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	10	-21	14.4	14.2	0.19	16.1	13.3	2.80
Miles Bridges	64	64	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.50	4	-5	9	12.6	16.3	-3.68	13.9	13.1	0.83
Kemba Walker	88	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.37	-1	0	-1	14.5	13.2	1.36	13.1	15.0	-1.86
Willy Hernangomez	43	43	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.81	5	-6	11	14.0	14.3	-0.32	13.6	13.5	0.02
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	56	57	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.77	3	-4	7	15.2	13.3	2.00	13.5	13.6	-0.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Embiid	81	86	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.48	9	-8	17	13.9	12.8	1.06	14.5	13.4	1.13
JJ Redick	77	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.47	8	-7	15	13.8	12.9	0.93	14.2	14.2	0.05
Ben Simmons	90	88	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.43	-2	3	-5	13.0	15.4	-2.37	14.4	13.5	0.92
Dario Saric	87	86	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.38	-3	4	-7	13.1	14.9	-1.71	14.7	12.8	1.92
Robert Covington	63	66	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.49	-9	10	-19	13.3	13.8	-0.51	14.5	13.8	0.68
Wilson Chandler	36	34	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	-4	9	12.6	14.0	-1.44	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Markelle Fultz	48	51	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	-1	3	14.3	13.0	1.26	14.5	14.0	0.55
T.J. McConnell	10	9	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	3	-5	8.6	14.0	-5.42	12.7	14.4	-1.69
Jonah Bolden	23	25	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.06	6	-5	11	15.9	13.0	2.91	12.8	14.6	-1.77
Landry Shamet	41	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.10	1	0	1	14.3	13.1	1.25	13.4	14.6	-1.20
Amir Johnson	14	12	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.11	-10	11	-21	14.3	13.4	0.85	11.6	14.5	-2.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.9,0.9,0.86,0.89,0.7,0.64,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.75,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, UTA 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.47,0.53,0.22,0.05,0.04,0.46,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.91,1	90.6%
MIN 107, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.87,0.77,0.59,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.23,0.04,0	87.4%
HOU 116, CHI 119	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.21,0.33,0.16,0.46,0.52,0.63,0.45,0.73,1	87.1%