NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	10.4 [76]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +54.9%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	17.8 [77]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (BOS): -34.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0.31	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.16,0.31	0.06	0.25	-0.00	12	69%	0.40	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.17	0.07	0.00	13	85%	0.30	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.14	-0.00	3	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.08	-0.01	13	50%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.06
Jaylen Brown	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.06	0.12	-0.01	14	40%	0.14	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Terry Rozier	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	11	64%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	7	21%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.34	-0.11	-0.24	-0.01	10	20%	-0.10	1	-0.24	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.17,0.55	0.55	-0.01	0.55	-0.01	18	55%	0.80	5	-0.25	8	100%	0.06
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.04	0.20	0.01	11	59%	0.29	2	-0.06	5	40%	-0.04
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.11	0.00	8	67%	0.20	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.08	-0.02	12	65%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	70%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.15	-0.00	7	67%	0.06	2	-0.18	4	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	5	8%	-0.15	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	12	15%	-0.21	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	26.3	14.4	24.6	2.5	35.4	130.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -0.3%

IND +16.7%

IND +23.4%

IND +5.6%

IND +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	13.9	15.8	14.3	104.1	105.2	109.3
season	13.9	14.5		109.9	108.4
opponent	14.6	14.7		105.7	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.2	15.7	13.5	14.2	13.9
IND	17.3	13.7	16.5	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	44	42	0.44	-0.94	1.38	0.09	12	-13	25	14.2	13.6	0.58	17.8	14.3	3.58
Aron Baynes	39	39	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.03	3	-4	7	14.0	13.8	0.19	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Terry Rozier	38	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.11	-9	8	-17	14.5	13.5	1.05	14.9	16.4	-1.47
Jayson Tatum	68	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.52	8	-9	17	13.7	14.2	-0.46	15.7	16.0	-0.28
Marcus Morris	64	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.35	-2	1	-3	14.4	12.8	1.62	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Kyrie Irving	55	57	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.75	8	-9	17	13.2	14.8	-1.54	16.4	14.9	1.45
Jaylen Brown	65	65	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	11	-23	13.4	14.9	-1.52	15.4	16.7	-1.32
Gordon Hayward	54	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	8	-17	14.0	13.8	0.21	15.1	16.8	-1.65
Al Horford	58	58	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.50	-4	3	-7	13.8	14.0	-0.19	15.9	15.6	0.27

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Joseph	51	52	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.84	-4	5	-9	15.8	15.8	-0.00	13.9	13.9	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	48	47	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.44	8	-7	15	15.3	16.3	-1.01	13.8	14.0	-0.23
Thaddeus Young	60	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.34	7	-6	13	15.3	16.6	-1.37	14.0	13.8	0.20
Domantas Sabonis	54	55	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.54	-2	3	-5	15.9	15.7	0.15	14.2	13.5	0.64
Victor Oladipo	73	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	4	-7	15.9	15.6	0.29	14.0	13.5	0.51
TJ Leaf	24	24	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	-3	7	15.6	15.9	-0.29	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Doug McDermott	24	24	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	-3	7	15.6	15.9	-0.29	13.5	14.0	-0.51
Tyreke Evans	44	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	4	-7	15.9	15.7	0.23	14.0	13.8	0.21
Myles Turner	56	56	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.06	-7	8	-15	16.4	15.0	1.39	13.7	14.1	-0.45
Darren Collison	51	51	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.33	1	0	1	16.2	15.4	0.79	13.9	13.9	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.52,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.54,0.33,0.16,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, TOR 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.77,0.61,0.64,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.64,0.37,0.22,0.18,1	89.5%
BOS 103, CHI 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.54,0.4,0.54,0.46,0.32,0.42,1	89.2%
PHI 88, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.3,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.35,0.45,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.73,0.54,0.53,0.21,0.22,0.42,1	89.1%