NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	109		Excitement	6.4 [591]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +20.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	116		Comeback	1.8 [890]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (NOP): -16.6%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	6	86%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	-0.02	0.04	15	65%	0.08	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.13	-0.01	0.08	16	63%	0.08	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02
Mike Scott	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Lou Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	15	53%	0.10	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	10	52%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	33%	-0.04
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.17	0.02	-0.02	21	60%	0.21	0	0.00	15	67%	-0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	72%	0.17	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	11	69%	0.11	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.00
Darius Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	18	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Ian Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.21	0.00	-0.04	15	22%	-0.10	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	36.0	14.0	28.2	2.3	34.9	141.9
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -0.2%

NOP +10.0%

NOP +9.4%

NOP +31.1%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	14.4	13.2	14.3	104.8	110.5	109.3
season	13.9	13.4		111.3	110.2
opponent	14.2	14.1		111.5	110.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.9	13.1	16.2	13.7	14.4
NOP	11.8	13.6	13.3	14.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	38	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-7	7	13.4	15.0	-1.61	13.0	13.2	-0.20
Mike Scott	27	27	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	13.0	14.9	-1.86	12.9	13.2	-0.30
Tyrone Wallace	1	1	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-7	7	0.0	14.6	-14.55	28.0	13.0	14.99
Montrezl Harrell	51	52	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.27	7	-14	21	12.3	16.4	-4.08	13.9	12.4	1.56
Patrick Beverley	56	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.22	5	-12	17	15.2	13.5	1.62	13.4	12.8	0.58
Boban Marjanovic	2	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-3	-1	15.0	14.4	0.60	9.3	13.3	-3.93
Marcin Gortat	27	25	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.10	-13	6	-19	18.3	13.1	5.19	11.2	13.8	-2.62
Lou Williams	57	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.38	3	-10	13	13.0	16.1	-3.09	13.5	12.7	0.77
Avery Bradley	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-1	-5	15.7	12.7	3.08	13.0	13.4	-0.43
Tobias Harris	79	81	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	14.5	14.3	0.18	13.4	12.5	0.90
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	50	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	4	-15	13.5	15.3	-1.80	12.9	13.4	-0.51
Danilo Gallinari	73	73	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.17	-14	7	-21	15.7	11.4	4.31	13.0	13.5	-0.50

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Davis	84	84	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-8	23	13.2	13.0	0.19	15.3	10.8	4.47
Jrue Holiday	83	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.24	12	-5	17	13.0	13.9	-0.90	15.0	12.3	2.65
Elfrid Payton	74	74	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	13.3	12.9	0.40	15.6	11.6	3.95
E'Twaun Moore	75	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.30	2	5	-3	13.3	12.9	0.40	14.6	14.0	0.57
Solomon Hill	54	53	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	4	-1	13.2	13.1	0.03	12.6	16.3	-3.61
Nikola Mirotic	67	67	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	4	-1	12.2	14.8	-2.57	15.3	12.9	2.36
Julius Randle	49	47	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.28	-6	13	-19	14.3	12.1	2.20	12.3	16.2	-3.90
Darius Miller	31	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.01	-1	8	-9	13.4	13.0	0.38	11.8	15.5	-3.67
Ian Clark	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	11	-15	12.0	13.2	-1.25	14.4	14.4	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.78,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.8,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 84, WAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	93.7%
LAC 92, DEN 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
NYK 86, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.6,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.4%