NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	117		Excitement	3.4 [1136]		MVP	Garrett Temple (MEM): +24.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	131		Comeback	1.2 [1067]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -9.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Poythress	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Trae Young	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	18	51%	0.07	3	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.18	-0.01	0.15	15	82%	0.11	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.00
Vince Carter	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	64%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.11	-0.00	-0.07	11	43%	-0.02	5	-0.02	6	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.06	6	67%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Kent Bazemore	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	3	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.31	0.03	0.10	11	103%	0.27	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	6	92%	0.09	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	0.00	0.06	12	73%	0.11	2	-0.03	9	67%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	0.00	13	55%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	5	64%	0.05	1	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	72%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	7	22%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	8	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	3	37%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.05	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.4	1.5	32.6	14.6	33.4	1.7	28.4	144.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +32.6%

MEM +6.8%

MEM +2.9%

MEM +7.3%

MEM +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MEM	NBA	ATL	MEM	NBA
this game	11.8	14.6	14.3	106.4	121.3	109.3
season	13.6	15.4		107.2	105.4
opponent	14.2	13.9		107.4	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	12.4	11.3	11.0	12.7	11.8
MEM	12.4	15.1	14.2	17.3	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alex Len	61	60	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-16	18	12.2	11.3	0.85	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Kevin Huerter	27	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.17	5	-19	24	10.3	12.3	-2.04	16.4	14.0	2.46
Alex Poythress	48	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-12	10	12.0	11.7	0.28	15.5	14.0	1.53
Kent Bazemore	51	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	-5	-4	11.7	11.9	-0.14	13.6	15.6	-2.07
Tyler Dorsey	28	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-8	2	11.5	11.9	-0.35	15.8	14.3	1.52
Taurean Prince	56	54	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	-6	-2	12.2	11.4	0.77	13.5	15.8	-2.37
Jeremy Lin	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.13	-5	-9	4	12.5	11.4	1.11	15.4	14.3	1.15
Trae Young	76	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	-3	-8	11.7	12.0	-0.33	14.1	15.9	-1.86
DeAndre' Bembry	74	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.14	-8	-6	-2	11.6	12.2	-0.59	15.4	13.2	2.22
Miles Plumlee	41	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.14	-10	-4	-6	10.9	12.3	-1.47	15.7	14.0	1.74
Vince Carter	50	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.09	-18	4	-22	12.5	11.2	1.21	13.2	15.8	-2.63

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	75	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.45	37	-23	60	14.1	15.8	-1.68	12.5	10.1	2.36
Marc Gasol	64	63	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.33	31	-17	48	14.2	15.3	-1.05	13.2	10.0	3.22
Omri Casspi	52	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.35	1	13	-12	15.7	13.7	2.01	11.0	12.5	-1.55
Mike Conley	56	59	0.35	0.14	0.21	-0.41	26	-12	38	13.6	15.8	-2.20	12.9	10.5	2.37
Kyle Anderson	48	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	4	6	14.0	15.2	-1.20	10.9	12.5	-1.55
Chandler Parsons	37	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.11	13	1	12	14.6	14.6	0.00	12.7	11.3	1.38
JaMychal Green	32	35	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.19	12	2	10	13.8	15.0	-1.14	12.5	11.5	1.09
Shelvin Mack	57	56	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.56	-16	30	-46	15.5	13.6	1.90	10.5	13.1	-2.61
Jaren Jackson Jr.	64	66	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	22	-30	14.5	14.8	-0.29	11.0	13.0	-2.04
Dillon Brooks	37	36	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.36	-16	30	-46	16.2	13.8	2.43	11.7	11.8	-0.12
Wayne Selden	18	17	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.45	-20	34	-54	16.1	14.4	1.76	8.7	12.4	-3.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, CHH 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
HOU 113, GSW 126	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.6%
WAS 72, BOS 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%