NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	101		Excitement	8.4 [256]		MVP	Danny Green (TOR): +24.8%
Toronto Raptors	113		Comeback	2.4 [605]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -12.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0.11	0,0,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.01	0.08	-0.02	12	56%	0.18	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	59%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Gordon Hayward	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	52%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	20	52%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jayson Tatum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	16	47%	0.07	5	-0.20	2	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.11	0.13	-0.01	8	87%	0.29	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.04	0.03	14	72%	0.16	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	25	53%	0.19	3	-0.09	9	100%	0.05
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	8	75%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	11	44%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.04
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	26.2	14.5	28.3	2.5	31.4	132.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +39.3%

TOR +3.5%

BOS -4.9%

TOR +12.6%

BOS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	TOR	NBA	BOS	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.3	101.0	111.9	109.3
season	13.9	14.3		109.9	111.5
opponent	14.5	14.7		105.9	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.9	13.5	16.2	12.5	14.0
TOR	12.8	17.1	13.8	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aron Baynes	33	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-10	8	12.5	14.7	-2.25	13.8	15.1	-1.27
Jaylen Brown	53	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-12	12	13.5	14.5	-1.02	15.1	14.2	0.86
Marcus Smart	43	47	-0.12	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-10	8	14.8	13.4	1.45	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Marcus Morris	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.24	-1	-11	10	14.7	13.2	1.46	15.3	14.0	1.33
Terry Rozier	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-8	4	12.9	15.1	-2.26	13.8	15.5	-1.67
Gordon Hayward	53	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	13.1	15.0	-1.91	14.8	14.6	0.19
Kyrie Irving	75	74	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	4	-20	14.3	13.2	1.05	14.8	14.4	0.40
Al Horford	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.21	-10	-2	-8	14.7	12.5	2.25	15.1	13.8	1.27
Jayson Tatum	74	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.13	-14	2	-16	14.5	12.5	1.96	14.6	14.9	-0.27

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Green	68	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	-0.07	25	-13	38	14.8	14.3	0.54	15.0	12.2	2.75
Kyle Lowry	69	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.05	18	-6	24	14.6	14.7	-0.08	15.1	11.4	3.75
Kawhi Leonard	72	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.08	17	-5	22	15.0	13.8	1.27	14.8	11.9	2.86
Serge Ibaka	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-4	20	14.8	14.4	0.36	14.7	12.5	2.15
OG Anunoby	44	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	13	-14	14.5	14.8	-0.29	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Fred VanVleet	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.15	2	10	-8	14.1	15.5	-1.43	13.1	15.3	-2.14
Pascal Siakam	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	12	-12	15.1	14.4	0.74	14.6	13.7	0.88
Jonas Valanciunas	33	32	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.08	-4	16	-20	14.4	14.8	-0.36	12.5	14.7	-2.15
Norman Powell	25	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	17	-22	14.4	14.7	-0.30	11.3	14.8	-3.55
CJ Miles	30	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.05	-8	20	-28	14.5	14.7	-0.28	10.9	15.1	-4.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.47,0.48,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.69,0.76,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, GSW 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.85,0.72,0.75,0.89,0.99,0.98,1	93.8%
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.8%
POR 93, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	93.7%