inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 119 Excitement3.2 [1164] MVPLauri Markkanen (CHI): +13.5%
Chicago Bulls 87 Comeback1.3 [917] LVPBobby Portis (CHI): -9.3%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Luke Kennard0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.010.011472%0.153-0.034100%0.01
Anthony Tolliver0.090,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.14-0.000.041082%0.111-0.022100%0.01
Ish Smith0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.090.000.01881%0.0810.0000%0.00
Henry Ellenson0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.011064%0.0710.002100%0.00
Stanley Johnson0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.010.01779%0.091-0.0200%0.00
James Ennis III0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.00-0.031040%0.0200.0000%0.00
Reggie Hearn0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kay Felder0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Langston Galloway-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.00750%0.011-0.0100%0.00
Eric Moreland-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.05-0.010.051267%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.000.03839%-0.051-0.012100%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.150.010.021369%0.1300.003100%0.02
Cameron Payne0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.070.00-0.10933%0.0320.0000%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01562%0.041-0.02667%0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.060.00-0.08530%0.0120.0000%0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Jerian Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.10-0.00-0.071336%0.013-0.05250%-0.01
David Nwaba0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.02-0.051637%-0.053-0.01367%0.00
Sean Kilpatrick0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.02-0.020.071064%-0.003-0.082100%0.01
Bobby Portis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.000.001339%-0.063-0.0420%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.81.724.314.424.51.826.2114.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +44.0%
CHI -2.7%
CHI -2.3%
DET +10.5%
DET +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETCHINBADETCHINBA
this game14.615.014.7122.789.7107.5
season14.914.2106.4103.2
opponent15.014.7110.2106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.415.314.014.014.6
CHI15.214.113.717.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Anthony Tolliver53540.380.120.25-0.091616015.413.71.6914.915.3-0.39
Luke Kennard62630.340.160.18-0.161715215.313.41.9114.316.5-2.20
Eric Moreland82830.310.190.13-0.392481615.112.32.7414.915.6-0.70
Henry Ellenson59570.310.190.12-0.392481613.416.6-3.2615.414.60.75
Reggie Jackson55570.290.210.09-0.3522101215.713.32.4515.314.70.54
James Ennis III44430.260.240.01-0.301913613.815.3-1.5215.714.51.26
Stanley Johnson41420.240.26-0.01-0.02923-1415.813.82.0414.515.4-0.87
Ish Smith35340.210.29-0.09-0.03824-1612.515.8-3.3015.314.90.43
Langston Galloway40400.160.34-0.18-0.341715212.915.9-2.9816.614.02.61
Reggie Hearn760.000.50-0.50-0.06230-2816.914.52.3811.315.3-3.95
Kay Felder760.000.50-0.50-0.06230-2816.914.52.3811.315.3-3.95

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lauri Markkanen4140-0.09-0.410.32-0.090-323214.115.7-1.5517.312.84.55
Ryan Arcidiacono4949-0.14-0.360.220.36-17-15-215.514.60.9513.515.8-2.30
David Nwaba6161-0.17-0.330.160.36-18-14-414.615.7-1.0815.213.61.61
Cristiano Felicio5857-0.18-0.320.140.35-18-14-415.614.31.2715.513.42.17
Omer Asik3940-0.32-0.18-0.140.09-14-18414.315.6-1.2713.415.5-2.17
Sean Kilpatrick5758-0.35-0.15-0.200.03-13-19614.715.5-0.8715.613.22.46
Cameron Payne6465-0.36-0.14-0.220.20-19-13-615.015.2-0.2115.512.92.60
Bobby Portis4949-0.41-0.09-0.320.41-28-4-2416.014.11.9412.217.2-4.98
Jerian Grant6766-0.48-0.02-0.460.49-331-3415.314.50.7813.417.2-3.79


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 116, CHI 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.5%
DEN 111, IND 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%
DAL 119, BOS 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.4%