NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	119		Excitement	3.2 [1164]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): +13.5%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.3 [917]		LVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): -9.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	14	72%	0.15	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	-0.00	0.04	10	82%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	8	81%	0.08	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Ellenson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	10	64%	0.07	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stanley Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Hearn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.05	12	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.03	8	39%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.02	13	69%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.10	9	33%	0.03	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.08	5	30%	0.01	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	13	36%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
David Nwaba	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	16	37%	-0.05	3	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	0.07	10	64%	-0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	0.00	13	39%	-0.06	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	1.7	24.3	14.4	24.5	1.8	26.2	114.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +44.0%

CHI -2.7%

CHI -2.3%

DET +10.5%

DET +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHI	NBA	DET	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	15.0	14.7	122.7	89.7	107.5
season	14.9	14.2		106.4	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.7		110.2	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.4	15.3	14.0	14.0	14.6
CHI	15.2	14.1	13.7	17.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	53	54	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	16	0	15.4	13.7	1.69	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Luke Kennard	62	63	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	15	2	15.3	13.4	1.91	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Eric Moreland	82	83	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.39	24	8	16	15.1	12.3	2.74	14.9	15.6	-0.70
Henry Ellenson	59	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.39	24	8	16	13.4	16.6	-3.26	15.4	14.6	0.75
Reggie Jackson	55	57	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.35	22	10	12	15.7	13.3	2.45	15.3	14.7	0.54
James Ennis III	44	43	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.30	19	13	6	13.8	15.3	-1.52	15.7	14.5	1.26
Stanley Johnson	41	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.02	9	23	-14	15.8	13.8	2.04	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Ish Smith	35	34	0.21	0.29	-0.09	-0.03	8	24	-16	12.5	15.8	-3.30	15.3	14.9	0.43
Langston Galloway	40	40	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.34	17	15	2	12.9	15.9	-2.98	16.6	14.0	2.61
Reggie Hearn	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	30	-28	16.9	14.5	2.38	11.3	15.3	-3.95
Kay Felder	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	30	-28	16.9	14.5	2.38	11.3	15.3	-3.95

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	41	40	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-32	32	14.1	15.7	-1.55	17.3	12.8	4.55
Ryan Arcidiacono	49	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.36	-17	-15	-2	15.5	14.6	0.95	13.5	15.8	-2.30
David Nwaba	61	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.36	-18	-14	-4	14.6	15.7	-1.08	15.2	13.6	1.61
Cristiano Felicio	58	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.35	-18	-14	-4	15.6	14.3	1.27	15.5	13.4	2.17
Omer Asik	39	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-18	4	14.3	15.6	-1.27	13.4	15.5	-2.17
Sean Kilpatrick	57	58	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-19	6	14.7	15.5	-0.87	15.6	13.2	2.46
Cameron Payne	64	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.20	-19	-13	-6	15.0	15.2	-0.21	15.5	12.9	2.60
Bobby Portis	49	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.41	-28	-4	-24	16.0	14.1	1.94	12.2	17.2	-4.98
Jerian Grant	67	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.49	-33	1	-34	15.3	14.5	0.78	13.4	17.2	-3.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.2,0.24,0.19,0.23,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 116, CHI 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
DEN 111, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
DAL 119, BOS 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.2,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%