NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	115		Excitement	7.4 [384]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +27.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	111		Comeback	3.5 [528]		LVP	CJ McCollum (POR): -14.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27	0.20	0.11	0.03	25	65%	0.37	4	-0.09	15	73%	-0.03
Chris Paul	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.10	0.14	-0.02	16	58%	0.27	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.11	0.08	-0.00	7	87%	0.22	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
PJ Tucker	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	2	75%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	14	60%	0.15	3	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Joe Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.22	0.04	0.02	11	88%	0.24	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.08	0.02	5	106%	0.25	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.06	0.03	10	81%	0.22	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.01	10	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.02
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	17	45%	0.00	1	-0.04	10	100%	0.05
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15	-0.14	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	15	27%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	2.8	25.2	16.4	31.5	3.4	27.5	135.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.7%

POR -1.3%

HOU +7.4%

POR -6.2%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	14.7	126.4	124.7	107.5
season	14.6	15.2		112.8	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.8		105.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	13.4	18.1	14.3	19.0	16.0
POR	14.3	17.0	16.3	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	63	60	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-4	12	15.3	17.3	-1.97	15.8	16.5	-0.70
PJ Tucker	54	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.38	8	-4	12	16.9	14.5	2.39	15.7	16.6	-0.95
Gerald Green	20	20	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-4	12	13.2	16.7	-3.53	20.0	14.9	5.10
Eric Gordon	64	62	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.09	6	-2	8	15.2	17.8	-2.64	17.1	13.5	3.63
Trevor Ariza	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	5	-6	18.2	13.3	4.96	15.0	17.4	-2.43
Clint Capela	44	43	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	8	-12	18.8	13.3	5.54	14.1	17.8	-3.69
Luc Mbah a Moute	51	48	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	3	-2	14.6	17.7	-3.16	17.1	14.8	2.30
James Harden	60	61	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.19	-5	9	-14	17.0	13.8	3.21	15.2	17.9	-2.75
Ryan Anderson	18	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	3	-2	13.7	16.5	-2.78	16.4	15.9	0.50
Joe Johnson	32	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.00	-2	6	-8	12.8	17.7	-4.90	16.6	15.8	0.84

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	18	21	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.05	4	-8	12	16.3	16.0	0.29	10.3	17.7	-7.37
Damian Lillard	69	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.25	6	-10	16	15.3	18.6	-3.30	16.0	15.8	0.17
Jusuf Nurkic	51	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.17	2	-6	8	14.5	18.1	-3.60	17.7	14.0	3.68
Zach Collins	23	25	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-2	0	18.4	15.2	3.16	15.4	16.2	-0.82
Maurice Harkless	55	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.24	-1	-3	2	15.0	17.8	-2.78	16.8	14.7	2.07
Evan Turner	35	39	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	3	-10	17.9	14.8	3.08	14.7	16.9	-2.17
Al-Farouq Aminu	65	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-4	4	15.1	18.6	-3.48	16.0	15.7	0.32
Ed Davis	37	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	1	-6	18.6	14.2	4.36	14.8	16.8	-1.99
Shabazz Napier	29	31	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	7	-18	17.2	15.5	1.67	16.7	15.6	1.14
CJ McCollum	63	64	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	2	-8	16.0	16.1	-0.10	17.0	13.5	3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.52,0.56,0.69,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.21,0.24,0.39,0.25,0.11,0.04,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 95, WAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.42,0.57,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.26,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.09,0,0	93.1%
LAC 112, GSW 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.11,0.01,0,0,0	92.4%
ORL 89, DEN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.41,0.4,0.24,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.3%