NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	113		Excitement	4.9 [867]		MVP	Brook Lopez (LAL): +10.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	127		Comeback	1.1 [694]		LVP	JR Smith (CLE): -8.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	5	87%	0.07	2	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Kyle Korver	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.05	6	100%	0.07	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.03	9	75%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	-0.03	-0.01	20	53%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
George Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
London Perrantes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Holland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.06	5	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jeff Green	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.04	8	22%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
JR Smith	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	18	61%	0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	-0.01	-0.00	13	71%	0.10	2	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.21	0.01	0.15	18	78%	0.18	4	-0.10	10	80%	0.03
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.00	-0.07	16	56%	0.10	5	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	14	44%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Travis Wear	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	3	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	23%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.7	27.4	15.4	27.3	2.5	29.6	128.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +20.5%

LAL +8.1%

LAL +21.3%

LAL +0.6%

CLE -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	LAL	NBA	CLE	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.0	14.7	109.7	122.1	107.5
season	14.8	13.7		111.2	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		107.2	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.4	15.2	13.5	12.4	13.9
LAL	13.3	13.1	13.1	16.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
London Perrantes	12	13	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-21	28	9.6	14.4	-4.85	18.6	13.3	5.32
Larry Nance Jr.	55	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-9	4	14.7	12.9	1.89	13.8	14.2	-0.38
John Holland	40	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.04	-2	-12	10	12.8	14.5	-1.66	15.7	12.8	2.91
JR Smith	47	49	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-10	6	15.0	12.9	2.01	13.7	14.2	-0.58
Jeff Green	45	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-9	4	14.7	13.2	1.50	14.1	13.8	0.30
Jose Calderon	45	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-11	8	12.8	14.7	-1.81	14.3	13.7	0.62
George Hill	58	58	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	-5	-4	14.7	12.8	1.81	13.9	14.0	-0.07
Ante Zizic	44	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-8	2	12.2	15.1	-2.94	14.5	13.6	0.94
LeBron James	67	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.7	12.4	2.31	13.2	15.4	-2.21
Jordan Clarkson	39	38	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.09	-17	3	-20	13.8	13.9	-0.07	11.6	15.3	-3.71
Kyle Korver	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.07	-13	-1	-12	13.5	14.5	-1.00	13.8	14.2	-0.46

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.02	18	-4	22	13.6	14.6	-0.95	13.6	14.4	-0.86
Julius Randle	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.04	19	-5	24	13.6	15.4	-1.78	14.2	12.6	1.62
Kyle Kuzma	85	85	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.06	14	0	14	13.6	15.8	-2.24	13.6	15.3	-1.71
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	80	80	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	-1	16	14.0	13.8	0.17	13.9	13.7	0.16
Brook Lopez	72	71	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.02	13	1	12	13.6	14.9	-1.32	13.9	13.9	-0.02
Lonzo Ball	64	64	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.09	-1	15	-16	15.2	11.9	3.27	14.2	13.3	0.98
Alex Caruso	29	27	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	15	-16	13.7	14.1	-0.33	13.6	13.9	-0.32
Travis Wear	27	25	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.13	-4	18	-22	14.7	13.7	1.05	13.7	13.9	-0.19
Derrick Williams	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	14	-14	0.0	14.1	-14.10	25.0	13.8	11.25
Ivica Zubac	12	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	17	-20	16.7	13.6	3.15	13.1	14.0	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 71, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
CHI 90, IND 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.78,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
DAL 77, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%