NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	116		Excitement	7.6 [343]		MVP	Lonzo Ball (LAL): +67.1%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	39.0 [16]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -9.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lonzo Ball	0.67	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.1,0.38,0.67	0.11	0.58	0.01	12	75%	0.72	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0.17	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.17	0.11	0.09	0.03	15	61%	0.19	1	-0.03	11	82%	0.05
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	-0.00	13	67%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	56%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Travis Wear	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	16	52%	0.06	5	-0.10	8	100%	0.05
Ivica Zubac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Kuzma	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	13	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	25%	-0.06

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.16	0.16	-0.03	0.17	-0.01	17	47%	0.20	2	-0.04	6	50%	0.03
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	9	61%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	9	33%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	11	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.08	-0.01	12	56%	0.05	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.01
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	7	44%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	2.4	27.4	14.5	26.3	1.0	33.2	132.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +64.0%

SAS -3.5%

SAS -13.9%

LAL +6.7%

SAS -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	12.3	14.6	14.7	108.4	104.7	107.5
season	13.7	15.5		105.7	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.8		104.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	11.5	12.7	12.5	12.7	12.3
SAS	13.3	14.5	15.2	15.6	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Wear	28	27	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.42	18	-14	32	13.2	12.0	1.26	14.9	14.5	0.44
Lonzo Ball	77	78	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-4	12	12.0	13.0	-0.99	15.1	13.2	1.86
Julius Randle	72	72	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.50	5	-1	6	12.3	12.3	0.01	15.2	13.4	1.78
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	94	95	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.46	3	1	2	12.6	10.4	2.20	14.7	13.4	1.33
Kyle Kuzma	76	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	7	-10	12.6	11.6	1.04	13.8	16.5	-2.68
Ivica Zubac	35	34	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.16	7	-3	10	10.5	13.2	-2.68	14.6	14.6	0.03
Gary Payton II	2	2	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	7	-10	11.0	12.3	-1.34	10.5	14.7	-4.18
Isaiah Thomas	66	67	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.28	6	-2	8	11.1	14.3	-3.20	15.1	13.7	1.35
Tyler Ennis	30	29	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.04	-4	8	-12	13.0	12.0	0.99	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Brook Lopez	55	57	-0.48	0.98	-1.45	0.02	-17	21	-38	13.6	10.9	2.71	14.1	15.2	-1.13

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	63	65	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.16	16	-20	36	13.8	15.8	-2.03	13.5	10.5	2.99
Davis Bertans	52	49	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.11	3	-7	10	14.0	15.1	-1.13	12.9	11.8	1.11
Dejounte Murray	54	53	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-11	18	13.7	15.5	-1.84	14.2	10.5	3.67
Kyle Anderson	48	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.34	8	-12	20	13.6	15.4	-1.73	13.4	11.4	2.03
Joffrey Lauvergne	36	35	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.24	-15	11	-26	15.8	14.0	1.86	9.8	13.5	-3.74
Pau Gasol	71	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.66	13	-17	30	14.0	15.8	-1.86	13.5	9.8	3.74
Manu Ginobili	53	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	9	-22	15.4	13.8	1.54	10.9	13.6	-2.71
Tony Parker	48	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.02	-16	12	-28	16.1	13.3	2.81	10.5	13.8	-3.33
Rudy Gay	55	58	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.53	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.0	1.13	11.8	12.9	-1.11
Danny Green	55	54	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.39	-18	14	-32	15.2	14.0	1.20	11.1	13.6	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.94,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.86,0.84,0.9,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.86,0.72,0.55,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.59,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.84,0.94,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.9,0.71,0.57,0.58,0	91.2%
NJN 102, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.75,0.64,0.57,0.42,0	91.1%
MIL 110, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.7,0.6,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.55,0.42,0	90.8%