NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	3.0 [1206]		MVP	Ish Smith (DET): +11.5%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	1.6 [1170]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -9.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Miles Plumlee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew White	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	0.00	0.07	11	68%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	48%	-0.01	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Isaiah Taylor	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.03	-0.01	0.10	9	68%	-0.04	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	41%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.00	0.04	15	38%	-0.07	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	13	67%	0.12	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.01
James Ennis III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	6	69%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Stanley Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	9	58%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	13	58%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	10	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	-0.05	10	57%	0.07	6	-0.08	3	33%	-0.03
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	10	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.04	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.3	23.5	14.7	24.9	1.5	36.6	128.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.1%

DET +3.8%

DET +6.9%

DET +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	DET	NBA	ATL	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	14.5	14.7	98.0	103.0	107.5
season	14.6	14.9		104.2	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		106.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.7	16.4	15.2	11.4	14.1
DET	14.0	15.5	13.1	15.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	48	51	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.10	-9	3	-12	15.4	12.9	2.43	15.2	13.9	1.36
Taurean Prince	59	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-2	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.60	14.6	14.5	0.14
John Collins	64	66	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.30	4	-10	14	13.4	15.3	-1.87	15.3	13.2	2.10
Andrew White	34	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-9	12	13.1	14.6	-1.46	15.5	14.1	1.44
Isaiah Taylor	52	55	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.63	14	-20	34	12.6	15.7	-3.15	15.7	13.1	2.60
DeAndre' Bembry	32	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.00	-8	2	-10	15.3	13.6	1.72	13.8	14.9	-1.11
Tyler Dorsey	65	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	0	-6	14.4	13.6	0.83	14.2	15.1	-0.91
Miles Plumlee	29	29	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-7	1	-8	15.9	13.4	2.52	13.7	14.9	-1.20
Mike Muscala	57	52	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-7	8	13.2	15.3	-2.05	14.3	14.8	-0.45
Malcolm Delaney	60	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	12	-30	14.9	12.8	2.10	12.8	16.9	-4.15

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Bullock	65	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.13	21	-15	36	12.8	17.7	-4.85	14.3	13.7	0.61
Ish Smith	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.10	13	-7	20	13.2	18.1	-4.98	14.3	13.6	0.75
Blake Griffin	78	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	-5	16	13.8	17.0	-3.18	14.2	13.9	0.31
Anthony Tolliver	48	48	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	7	-8	16.2	13.1	3.09	15.1	13.2	1.83
Stanley Johnson	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-6	18	13.1	17.0	-3.92	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Andre Drummond	74	73	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	4	-2	14.6	14.3	0.29	13.7	15.3	-1.57
James Ennis III	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.37	-6	12	-18	16.2	13.5	2.71	13.8	14.3	-0.52
Jameer Nelson	28	28	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.23	-7	13	-20	18.1	13.2	4.98	13.6	14.3	-0.75
Luke Kennard	36	35	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.46	-15	21	-36	17.7	12.8	4.85	13.7	14.3	-0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 78, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHI 88, ORL 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
DET 83, IND 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%