NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	101		Excitement	8.2 [243]		MVP	Bobby Portis (CHI): +32.1%
Chicago Bulls	105		Comeback	2.8 [544]		LVP	Jonathon Simmons (ORL): -54.9%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Fournier	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.15	0.07	0.01	15	71%	0.20	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Mario Hezonja	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.16	0.14	0.00	-0.01	14	71%	0.17	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Khem Birch	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	0	100%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Marreese Speights	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	8	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	58%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wes Iwundu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shelvin Mack	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	28%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jonathon Simmons	-0.55	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.31,-0.55	-0.06	-0.49	0.00	16	41%	-0.15	2	-0.40	2	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.24	-0.01	17	56%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Paul Zipser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	44%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Denzel Valentine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	10	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	6	43%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	0.02	-0.08	0.02	16	53%	0.00	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.01	9	67%	0.12	3	-0.21	3	33%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.17	-0.02	19	51%	-0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	23.4	14.7	24.8	1.7	36.3	125.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +28.3%

ORL -9.2%

CHI +21.0%

CHI +10.6%

ORL -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	CHI	NBA	ORL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	14.7	105.2	109.4	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		104.2	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.5		110.2	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.5	18.0	18.3	12.8	15.7
CHI	13.8	12.8	16.8	14.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	34	34	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.00	3	-7	10	14.9	16.1	-1.29	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Khem Birch	50	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.41	11	-15	26	14.8	16.6	-1.77	15.5	13.0	2.55
Bismack Biyombo	41	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	17.6	14.3	3.36	14.0	14.5	-0.54
D.J. Augustin	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	4	-12	17.8	14.0	3.81	13.9	14.6	-0.73
Wes Iwundu	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	5	-14	16.4	15.2	1.26	14.6	14.1	0.47
Shelvin Mack	53	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	14.0	17.8	-3.81	14.6	13.9	0.73
Evan Fournier	68	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-9	14	15.5	16.2	-0.74	14.4	14.0	0.45
Marreese Speights	25	25	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	7	-18	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.7	14.2	0.50
Mario Hezonja	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.34	-5	1	-6	15.1	16.9	-1.82	13.5	15.9	-2.48
Jonathon Simmons	64	65	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.35	-7	3	-10	16.3	14.5	1.83	14.0	14.9	-0.92

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	66	67	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-12	28	13.6	15.8	-2.16	16.5	13.8	2.76
David Nwaba	30	30	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.62	1	3	-2	13.1	14.9	-1.76	14.8	16.1	-1.29
Justin Holiday	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	14.4	14.0	0.39	15.8	15.4	0.37
Lauri Markkanen	61	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.34	-1	5	-6	14.1	14.7	-0.54	16.0	15.1	0.88
Bobby Portis	54	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	3	-2	14.6	13.9	0.77	14.0	17.8	-3.77
Paul Zipser	27	26	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-6	16	13.5	14.6	-1.16	15.9	15.6	0.27
Robin Lopez	50	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	6	-8	14.6	14.0	0.68	17.0	14.3	2.70
Denzel Valentine	38	36	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	6	-8	15.1	13.8	1.27	14.4	16.5	-2.12
Ryan Arcidiacono	14	14	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	7	-10	13.1	14.5	-1.37	16.5	15.5	0.95
Jerian Grant	72	73	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.11	-7	11	-18	15.2	11.8	3.36	15.7	15.7	-0.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.9,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.73,0.73,0.37,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 106, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.94,0.85,0.73,0.76,0.46,0.57,0.28,1	91.1%
DET 102, IND 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.55,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.57,1	90.8%
NJN 89, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.84,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.45,0.58,1	90.8%