NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	123		Excitement	5.4 [759]		MVP	Gerald Green (HOU): +25.7%
Brooklyn Nets	113		Comeback	1.7 [1020]		LVP	PJ Tucker (HOU): -7.3%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.17	0.08	-0.01	8	100%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.14	0.06	0.00	15	76%	0.28	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
James Harden	0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18	0.19	0.02	0.03	23	64%	0.24	2	-0.05	10	100%	0.03
Eric Gordon	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.02	9	65%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	-0.01	12	64%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Nene	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	5	67%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.00	7	106%	0.29	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.03	12	81%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	9	71%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	10	38%	0.00	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
James Webb III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	0.07	4	75%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	12	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	21.4	14.4	26.5	2.4	25.6	117.2
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +60.7%

HOU +0.8%

BKN -4.2%

BKN -7.6%

HOU +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BKN	NBA	HOU	BKN	NBA
this game	15.2	15.7	14.7	132.3	121.5	107.5
season	14.6	14.7		112.8	105.8
opponent	14.1	14.8		109.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	11.8	16.1	20.4	15.2
BKN	13.2	16.6	18.2	15.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	67	66	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-3	16	15.2	15.4	-0.21	15.7	15.7	0.04
Gerald Green	36	37	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.04	18	-8	26	13.2	16.5	-3.38	16.4	15.3	1.16
Nene	27	29	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.06	17	-7	24	13.2	16.1	-2.89	17.1	15.1	1.94
Luc Mbah a Moute	70	71	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	6	-2	15.9	13.2	2.74	15.7	15.8	-0.05
Eric Gordon	53	54	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	3	4	14.5	16.2	-1.78	16.4	14.8	1.61
PJ Tucker	65	63	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.13	0	10	-10	16.0	13.6	2.38	15.3	16.7	-1.38
Clint Capela	63	62	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	12	-14	16.1	13.4	2.76	14.8	17.6	-2.82
Ryan Anderson	19	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	10	-10	13.2	15.8	-2.55	15.3	15.8	-0.52
James Harden	65	64	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	17	-24	16.2	13.0	3.20	15.6	16.0	-0.34

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Dinwiddie	47	49	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.02	6	-16	22	15.8	15.7	0.16	16.2	14.2	1.96
Jarrett Allen	46	47	0.19	-0.69	0.89	-0.04	8	-18	26	15.3	16.1	-0.80	16.4	14.1	2.32
Allen Crabbe	59	59	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-14	18	16.3	14.7	1.66	15.8	14.2	1.58
DeMarre Carroll	55	56	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-10	10	16.6	14.5	2.04	15.5	14.8	0.75
Joe Harris	55	55	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-12	14	15.6	15.9	-0.28	15.3	15.1	0.22
Rashad Vaughn	7	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	12.0	16.0	-4.03	21.0	14.7	6.31
Isaiah Whitehead	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	12.6	16.1	-3.52	20.7	14.7	6.01
Caris LeVert	26	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	1	-12	15.3	15.9	-0.53	12.3	16.4	-4.01
James Webb III	38	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.21	-10	0	-10	14.5	16.6	-2.04	14.8	15.5	-0.75
Nik Stauskas	34	33	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.18	-13	3	-16	16.1	15.5	0.66	15.7	15.0	0.76
Jahlil Okafor	48	46	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.16	-18	8	-26	16.1	15.3	0.86	14.1	16.4	-2.32
D'Angelo Russell	42	40	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.03	-26	16	-42	16.1	15.4	0.75	12.2	17.5	-5.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.49,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.25,0.13,0.16,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 98, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.34,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.37,0.18,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
TOR 98, CHI 75	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.24,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.16,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
PHX 91, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.37,0.22,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%