NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	82		Excitement	2.9 [1218]		MVP	Dewayne Dedmon (ATL): +10.1%
Atlanta Hawks	108		Comeback	1.1 [935]		LVP	Andrew Harrison (MEM): -8.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Rabb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.00	0.04	8	72%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Selden	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	14	36%	-0.06	3	-0.03	5	40%	-0.01
Andrew Harrison	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	0.04	7	56%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.01	6	92%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.00	0.07	15	67%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.05	0.01	0.08	9	65%	0.01	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	-0.08	6	50%	0.02	6	-0.06	2	50%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	8	26%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.4	27.4	15.0	26.2	2.3	25.8	126.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.4%

ATL +6.0%

MEM -1.8%

ATL +17.3%

MEM -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ATL	NBA	MEM	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.6	14.7	86.3	110.2	107.5
season	15.4	14.6		103.4	104.2
opponent	14.4	14.6		109.8	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.3	15.3	15.0	15.2	15.2
ATL	13.0	16.0	14.4	15.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Rabb	42	42	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-28	30	14.8	15.5	-0.76	15.0	14.3	0.71
Wayne Selden	52	53	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-24	22	14.4	16.2	-1.74	15.1	14.2	0.90
Ben McLemore	44	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.16	-9	-17	8	14.4	15.9	-1.58	14.8	14.5	0.35
Brandan Wright	27	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.22	2	-28	30	16.1	14.9	1.21	15.7	14.2	1.50
Marc Gasol	40	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.29	-16	-10	-6	14.6	15.6	-1.01	14.3	14.9	-0.63
Andrew Harrison	46	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-21	16	15.0	15.4	-0.32	15.3	14.0	1.30
Mario Chalmers	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.19	-14	-12	-2	15.8	14.9	0.95	13.3	15.3	-1.97
JaMychal Green	46	47	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.25	-18	-8	-10	15.0	15.4	-0.37	14.6	14.7	-0.05
James Ennis III	47	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	-7	-12	15.9	14.6	1.31	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Dillon Brooks	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.26	-23	-3	-20	15.7	14.3	1.37	15.1	13.8	1.24
Jarell Martin	35	39	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.29	-28	2	-30	16.1	14.7	1.48	13.5	15.4	-1.92

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	49	47	0.47	0.03	0.43	-0.33	27	-1	28	14.3	15.0	-0.71	16.1	14.4	1.73
Tyler Dorsey	59	54	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.03	13	13	0	14.6	14.7	-0.17	15.3	15.1	0.24
Ersan Ilyasova	39	39	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.28	21	5	16	14.7	14.6	0.08	15.2	15.2	-0.05
Kent Bazemore	40	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.31	21	5	16	14.8	14.5	0.35	15.2	15.2	0.02
Dewayne Dedmon	40	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	12	2	13.9	15.1	-1.17	15.9	14.7	1.20
Taurean Prince	56	53	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	16	-6	13.9	15.7	-1.79	15.2	15.3	-0.09
John Collins	53	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	21	-16	14.4	15.0	-0.58	15.2	15.2	0.02
Miles Plumlee	40	40	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.04	4	22	-18	14.0	15.1	-1.13	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Isaiah Taylor	35	36	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.05	5	21	-16	15.4	14.2	1.18	14.9	15.4	-0.56
Mike Muscala	24	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.17	8	18	-10	17.4	13.7	3.67	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Malcolm Delaney	32	31	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.00	1	25	-24	15.0	14.5	0.53	14.2	15.7	-1.56
Luke Babbitt	23	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.03	1	25	-24	15.4	14.4	1.03	15.2	15.2	-0.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 86, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
DET 87, ORL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
CHA 88, DEN 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.82,0.82,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%