NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	129		Excitement	2.2 [1270]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (UTA): +19.7%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.2 [1077]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -14.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0.20	0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.38	0.00	0.18	19	93%	0.22	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.02	9	70%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.13	0.00	0.07	9	89%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.01	0.04	10	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	11	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Royce O'Neale	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	59%	0.01	5	-0.03	1	0%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.00	0.08	8	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	10	73%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	0.00	0.07	3	78%	0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	57%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Alec Peters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	18	49%	-0.02	1	0.00	5	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	25%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	24	35%	-0.11	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	24.3	15.3	30.6	2.3	26.6	124.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +40.2%

UTA +2.5%

UTA +0.5%

UTA +6.3%

UTA +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	14.8	14.7	130.3	98.0	107.5
season	15.1	14.2		106.6	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.6		111.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.2	14.1	16.1	13.5	14.3
PHX	16.2	15.9	12.0	15.3	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Rubio	53	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.58	39	-7	46	13.9	14.6	-0.71	16.0	13.4	2.56
Rudy Gobert	66	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.65	40	-8	48	14.5	13.7	0.88	15.1	14.2	0.89
Donovan Mitchell	68	68	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.56	36	-4	40	14.3	14.1	0.23	15.1	14.2	0.94
Joe Ingles	58	56	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.48	33	-1	34	13.4	15.5	-2.11	14.6	15.1	-0.53
Derrick Favors	51	53	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.35	26	6	20	13.4	15.2	-1.77	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Joe Johnson	42	42	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	32	-32	16.6	12.5	4.15	14.4	15.2	-0.75
Royce O'Neale	54	54	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	37	-42	15.6	12.7	2.87	14.1	15.7	-1.56
Alec Burks	43	43	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	34	-36	14.8	13.8	0.95	14.5	15.1	-0.58
Jonas Jerebko	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	33	-34	12.9	14.7	-1.74	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Ekpe Udoh	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	33	-34	11.4	14.8	-3.36	15.4	14.7	0.66
Raul Neto	21	22	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	37	-42	12.8	14.6	-1.83	14.0	15.1	-1.02

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House	18	17	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.20	11	-43	54	14.6	14.9	-0.28	14.8	14.1	0.62
Davon Reed	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-35	38	14.5	14.9	-0.43	12.1	14.6	-2.47
Alec Peters	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-35	38	15.0	14.8	0.19	11.4	14.7	-3.29
Josh Gray	19	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-28	24	14.9	14.8	0.07	11.7	14.9	-3.14
Dragan Bender	58	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.25	-11	-21	10	14.1	15.9	-1.86	15.2	13.0	2.13
Tyler Ulis	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.37	9	-41	50	14.7	14.9	-0.24	17.1	12.5	4.54
Jared Dudley	51	50	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.24	-13	-19	6	14.6	15.0	-0.39	15.3	13.2	2.08
Troy Daniels	39	39	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.32	-18	-14	-4	14.3	15.2	-0.92	14.9	13.8	1.02
Josh Jackson	61	61	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	-18	4	15.1	14.4	0.76	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Marquese Chriss	28	29	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.27	-20	-12	-8	15.7	14.5	1.27	14.1	14.3	-0.26
Tyson Chandler	37	37	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.36	-28	-4	-24	15.7	14.3	1.34	13.3	14.8	-1.57
TJ Warren	55	55	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.93	-48	16	-64	15.0	14.6	0.36	12.9	16.0	-3.06
Devin Booker	66	66	-0.55	0.04	-0.59	0.33	-30	-2	-28	14.9	14.7	0.17	14.6	13.6	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.17,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 119, WAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DET 103, CHA 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
CHI 110, CHH 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%