NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	9.8 [81]		MVP	Myke Henry (MEM): +19.4%
Detroit Pistons	104		Comeback	3.5 [620]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -37.4%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myke Henry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	-0.00	5	100%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deyonta Davis	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	7	86%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.01	14	55%	0.23	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.08
Dillon Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
James Ennis III	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	4	62%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	11	45%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.00	10	40%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Selden	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31	-0.09	-0.16	0.06	9	35%	-0.18	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.37	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,-0.03,-0.37	-0.05	-0.32	0.00	21	40%	-0.34	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.06

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.2,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.15	-0.01	6	57%	0.19	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.04
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.00	0.03	12	65%	0.12	0	0.00	13	85%	0.06
Dwight Buycks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.06	-0.02	8	59%	0.12	1	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	8	63%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.09,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.07	0.07	-0.01	15	44%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Stanley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Willie Reed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Moreland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Reggie Bullock	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.11	-0.11	0.08	-0.11	0.08	10	62%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	27.5	15.3	27.9	1.6	33.7	134.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +46.7%

DET +1.2%

MEM -33.8%

DET +29.6%

DET +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DET	NBA	MEM	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	14.1	14.7	103.0	106.1	107.5
season	15.4	14.9		103.4	106.4
opponent	14.7	14.6		106.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.2	14.3	15.5	13.6	15.1
DET	12.2	14.5	15.1	14.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deyonta Davis	31	32	0.48	-0.98	1.47	-0.01	17	-19	36	12.5	16.3	-3.82	16.1	13.2	2.97
Jarell Martin	59	58	0.29	-0.79	1.07	-0.09	13	-15	28	14.3	16.3	-2.08	14.4	13.7	0.67
Andrew Harrison	69	69	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.33	16	-18	34	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.4	13.5	0.91
Ben McLemore	21	22	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-8	14	14.3	15.3	-1.05	13.7	14.2	-0.57
Myke Henry	45	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-8	14	15.2	15.0	0.16	14.1	14.1	-0.03
James Ennis III	30	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.19	-13	11	-24	15.2	15.1	0.18	13.2	14.6	-1.41
Dillon Brooks	65	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	1	-4	15.3	14.7	0.66	14.7	13.0	1.75
JaMychal Green	42	41	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.35	-18	16	-34	15.7	14.7	1.05	13.4	14.6	-1.26
Wayne Selden	65	62	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.44	-15	13	-28	15.4	14.6	0.71	14.1	14.2	-0.16
Marc Gasol	68	66	-0.98	0.48	-1.47	-0.43	-19	17	-36	16.3	12.5	3.82	13.2	16.1	-2.97

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	70	73	1.11	-0.61	1.72	0.44	23	-21	44	13.4	15.9	-2.48	16.1	12.3	3.85
Stanley Johnson	72	74	0.94	-0.44	1.39	0.47	16	-14	30	14.0	14.3	-0.30	15.7	13.3	2.40
Ish Smith	57	57	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-10	22	13.7	14.7	-1.05	16.6	13.1	3.46
Reggie Bullock	71	73	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-8	18	13.6	15.4	-1.77	15.9	12.8	3.18
Willie Reed	8	8	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	-2	6	17.7	13.8	3.95	21.0	14.6	6.41
Anthony Tolliver	46	47	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.48	-16	18	-34	15.2	13.1	2.10	12.6	17.4	-4.87
Andre Drummond	62	60	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.07	1	1	0	12.8	16.4	-3.54	15.6	14.4	1.24
Eric Moreland	10	10	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	0.05	-8	10	-18	19.1	13.6	5.54	12.1	15.4	-3.35
Luke Kennard	45	45	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	14	-26	14.8	13.6	1.21	13.0	16.8	-3.79
Langston Galloway	9	8	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.09	-11	13	-24	13.8	14.2	-0.38	10.5	15.5	-5.02
Dwight Buycks	40	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.01	-9	11	-20	15.1	13.4	1.65	13.6	16.1	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.46,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.27,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.55,0.55,0.33,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.27,0.36,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.58,1	91.7%
NYK 93, BOS 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.47,0.59,0.41,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.58,1	90.9%
IND 87, TOR 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.34,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.57,0.72,1	90.0%