NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	4.9 [862]		MVP	Darren Collison (IND): +10.3%
San Antonio Spurs	86		Comeback	1.7 [316]		LVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS): -21.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darren Collison	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	12	58%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	10	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Victor Oladipo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.02	-0.03	-0.04	14	63%	0.08	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.00
Joe Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.17	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	8	74%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Brandon Paul	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	57%	0.02	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	7	57%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.00	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	28%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	12	29%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	-0.05	0.04	14	36%	-0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	24.8	14.8	25.5	2.3	32.7	123.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +14.9%

IND +13.3%

SAS -5.5%

IND +25.9%

IND +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	SAS	NBA	IND	SAS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	14.7	98.9	89.6	107.5
season	14.8	15.5		108.3	106.7
opponent	14.5	15.0		104.1	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	12.8	14.8	14.9	14.6
SAS	16.0	17.2	20.9	9.9	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darren Collison	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.12	12	-4	16	14.5	14.9	-0.36	15.7	15.1	0.63
Thaddeus Young	76	75	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.22	8	0	8	14.5	15.1	-0.62	16.4	12.5	3.86
Victor Oladipo	70	71	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	1	6	13.8	16.8	-2.97	16.5	12.7	3.82
Cory Joseph	63	62	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.30	3	5	-2	14.9	14.1	0.73	14.4	17.6	-3.12
Domantas Sabonis	51	54	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.04	9	-1	10	13.9	15.4	-1.49	17.9	12.5	5.41
Lance Stephenson	46	46	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.09	4	4	0	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.2	16.8	-2.58
Al Jefferson	39	37	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	15.4	14.0	1.40	13.1	17.1	-4.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	51	53	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	11	-14	15.1	14.0	1.14	15.6	15.5	0.10
TJ Leaf	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	8	-8	16.4	14.5	1.89	11.3	15.8	-4.49
Joe Young	8	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	10	-12	16.0	14.5	1.52	12.2	15.9	-3.66

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Paul	5	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	5.0	16.1	-11.12	3.2	15.1	-11.86
Derrick White	4	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-11	14	4.0	16.0	-12.04	3.2	15.1	-11.86
Dejounte Murray	59	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-9	10	13.9	18.1	-4.22	14.2	15.2	-1.04
Bryn Forbes	49	48	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.19	-1	-7	6	12.9	18.3	-5.32	14.9	14.3	0.66
Danny Green	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	0	-8	16.3	14.9	1.41	14.6	14.6	-0.05
Pau Gasol	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-6	4	14.9	16.7	-1.80	15.5	12.9	2.57
Kyle Anderson	70	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.23	-2	-6	4	15.4	15.9	-0.52	14.2	15.8	-1.60
Davis Bertans	38	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	0	-8	18.2	13.8	4.37	15.1	14.3	0.77
Patty Mills	42	43	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	1	-10	16.1	15.1	0.98	15.6	13.8	1.77
Tony Parker	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	1	-10	18.1	13.9	4.22	15.2	14.2	1.04
LaMarcus Aldridge	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	0	-8	17.3	11.1	6.11	14.5	14.9	-0.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 136, SAS 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
LAL 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
ORL 95, SAS 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%