NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	81		Excitement	6.1 [627]		MVP	Brandon Ingram (LAL): +14.2%
Los Angeles Lakers	93		Comeback	1.3 [562]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -21.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryn Forbes	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	12	69%	0.18	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.07
Derrick White	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	73%	0.09	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Matt Costello	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.02	0.03	14	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Davis Bertans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	2	33%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Brandon Paul	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.06	-0.02	14	32%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.03	-0.03	21	55%	0.18	1	-0.04	5	40%	-0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	9	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	10	48%	0.09	2	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	3	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	12	38%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.06	11	82%	0.10	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	8	28%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.02	6	0%	-0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	3.2	28.9	16.0	26.0	3.0	27.4	130.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +6.8%

LAL +1.7%

LAL +17.3%

LAL +20.1%

LAL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAL	NBA	SAS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	15.2	14.7	83.5	96.9	107.5
season	15.5	13.7		106.7	105.7
opponent	14.8	14.5		107.2	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.1	13.9	15.7	14.9	14.6
LAL	14.7	14.4	16.3	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick White	13	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.12	7	-19	26	13.1	14.8	-1.77	16.7	15.0	1.68
Dejounte Murray	51	52	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.19	8	-20	28	14.8	14.4	0.33	16.2	14.2	1.99
Matt Costello	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-15	18	10.2	14.8	-4.65	15.8	15.2	0.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	71	72	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.12	4	-16	20	14.9	13.9	0.94	15.4	14.9	0.49
Brandon Paul	16	16	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.10	1	-13	14	11.8	15.2	-3.35	16.1	15.1	0.99
Kyle Anderson	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-9	6	15.1	13.8	1.35	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Bryn Forbes	76	75	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	1	-14	15.3	12.1	3.21	14.9	16.5	-1.58
Davis Bertans	35	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	4	-20	13.9	15.0	-1.13	14.7	15.5	-0.87
Patty Mills	42	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	1	-14	14.6	14.6	-0.06	13.9	16.2	-2.26
Pau Gasol	74	72	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.02	-18	6	-24	14.8	13.9	0.91	15.4	14.6	0.82
Manu Ginobili	43	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.01	-20	8	-28	14.3	14.8	-0.51	15.2	15.3	-0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Nance Jr.	63	62	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.07	29	-17	46	14.9	15.9	-1.07	14.4	15.1	-0.70
Kyle Kuzma	61	61	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.08	26	-14	40	14.7	16.1	-1.42	14.5	14.8	-0.31
Lonzo Ball	73	73	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.08	17	-5	22	14.9	16.4	-1.57	14.7	14.2	0.48
Brandon Ingram	72	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	3	6	15.3	15.0	0.26	14.9	13.7	1.20
Jordan Clarkson	30	30	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.08	11	1	10	15.5	15.1	0.38	13.9	14.9	-1.07
Josh Hart	27	28	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	5	2	14.9	15.4	-0.54	13.7	15.0	-1.31
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	64	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.20	-3	15	-18	15.2	15.3	-0.10	15.0	13.8	1.20
Tyler Ennis	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	17	-22	16.4	14.9	1.57	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Brook Lopez	35	36	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	26	-40	16.1	14.7	1.42	14.8	14.5	0.31
Julius Randle	33	35	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	0.08	-17	29	-46	15.9	14.9	1.07	15.1	14.4	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.72,0.79,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.72,0.69,0.59,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.93,0.85,0.83,0.68,0.64,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.99,1,1	93.2%
SAS 94, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	91.7%
CHA 93, LAC 100	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.96,1	91.5%