NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	117		Excitement	4.8 [884]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +16.8%
Oklahoma City Thunder	106		Comeback	1.5 [287]		LVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): -14.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.04	-0.00	19	64%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	0.07	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.06	15	57%	0.14	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
Evan Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	87%	0.13	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Pat Connaughton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	71%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	10	70%	0.11	4	-0.09	10	90%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	3	82%	0.01	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Ed Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.02	0.04	8	80%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	17	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	62%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.04	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.04	18	58%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.05	-0.04	20	44%	-0.01	6	-0.14	10	70%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	1.8	26.5	15.4	23.4	1.5	27.5	121.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +41.5%

POR +9.2%

OKC -1.6%

POR +0.1%

POR +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.8	13.6	14.7	119.4	108.2	107.5
season	15.2	14.2		107.8	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.3		106.1	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.1	13.5	16.0	18.8	15.8
OKC	13.2	14.2	14.6	12.5	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	68	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.07	14	-3	17	15.4	16.7	-1.30	13.8	13.3	0.53
Al-Farouq Aminu	63	63	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.08	13	-2	15	15.5	16.2	-0.68	14.0	13.0	1.01
Shabazz Napier	69	69	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	15.4	16.6	-1.21	14.0	12.8	1.18
Jusuf Nurkic	49	49	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.01	13	-2	15	14.3	17.2	-2.84	14.1	13.1	1.00
Evan Turner	46	46	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-1	13	14.4	16.9	-2.51	14.2	13.1	1.16
Pat Connaughton	61	60	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	9	-7	16.4	14.6	1.79	13.0	14.6	-1.52
Ed Davis	44	44	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	7	-3	17.0	14.7	2.28	13.6	13.6	-0.06
Zach Collins	44	45	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	10	-9	16.6	15.1	1.54	13.3	13.9	-0.58
Noah Vonleh	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	18.6	15.6	2.99	9.0	13.9	-4.87
Jake Layman	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	17	-23	18.6	15.6	2.99	9.0	13.9	-4.87
Maurice Harkless	36	37	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	14	-17	16.7	15.2	1.56	13.2	13.9	-0.61

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Singler	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-16	21	9.7	13.9	-4.21	17.5	15.7	1.85
Raymond Felton	36	37	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.01	-1	-10	9	13.2	13.8	-0.59	16.5	15.3	1.25
Josh Huestis	31	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-16	21	12.0	14.4	-2.37	16.5	15.4	1.14
Alex Abrines	25	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-12	13	14.0	13.5	0.51	15.9	15.7	0.15
Patrick Patterson	22	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.01	-5	-6	1	13.9	13.5	0.37	15.9	15.7	0.19
Jerami Grant	34	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.07	-3	-8	5	13.2	13.8	-0.64	15.4	16.0	-0.59
Carmelo Anthony	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	13.8	13.2	0.54	15.7	16.0	-0.38
Terrance Ferguson	62	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	13.7	13.6	0.11	15.6	16.1	-0.55
Paul George	68	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	4	-19	14.2	12.3	1.95	15.4	16.5	-1.15
Steven Adams	65	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	2	-15	13.9	13.0	0.94	15.9	15.6	0.32
Russell Westbrook	72	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	2	-15	13.8	13.2	0.59	15.5	16.5	-0.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.43,0.54,0.52,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, CHI 77	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.1%
DET 124, PHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
LAL 122, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%