NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	7.7 [337]		MVP	Salah Mejri (DAL): +15.2%
Dallas Mavericks	96		Comeback	1.5 [494]		LVP	J.J. Barea (DAL): -32.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	7	83%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jarrett Jack	0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.1	0.03	0.10	0.02	8	67%	0.23	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	10	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Ron Baker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,-0.01	0.03	-0.07	-0.04	25	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.11
Doug McDermott	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	2	50%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	13	46%	0.00	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	5	85%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.14	0.02	9	58%	0.19	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.05	22	54%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
J.J. Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.32	-0.32	-0.04	-0.28	-0.00	12	38%	-0.12	1	-0.20	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.6	25.3	35.3	23.6	2.4	35.4	149.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.2%

NYK +6.2%

NYK +27.9%

DAL -3.7%

DAL -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DAL	NBA	NYK	DAL	NBA
this game	14.3	15.1	14.7	102.0	98.0	107.5
season	14.9	15.4		105.9	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.5		108.1	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.1	13.5	14.2	15.4	14.3
DAL	16.5	15.3	14.6	13.9	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kristaps Porzingis	80	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.35	10	-6	16	14.1	15.2	-1.05	15.4	14.0	1.32
Jarrett Jack	52	53	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	-2	8	13.1	15.6	-2.50	15.6	14.4	1.22
Ron Baker	28	27	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	-2	8	15.0	14.0	0.97	15.0	15.1	-0.16
Kyle O'Quinn	48	46	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	8	-12	15.0	13.6	1.36	13.8	16.2	-2.45
Enes Kanter	50	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	-4	12	13.6	15.0	-1.36	16.2	13.8	2.45
Doug McDermott	46	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.24	-1	5	-6	15.7	13.1	2.58	14.6	15.5	-0.97
Courtney Lee	70	71	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.26	-2	6	-8	14.0	15.0	-0.97	15.1	15.0	0.16
Frank Ntilikina	52	50	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.23	-2	6	-8	15.3	13.2	2.05	14.6	15.6	-0.98
Lance Thomas	52	53	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	3	-2	13.5	15.2	-1.72	15.0	15.2	-0.14
Willy Hernangomez	12	14	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	6	-8	14.7	14.2	0.51	15.1	15.1	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salah Mejri	42	45	0.44	-0.94	1.37	-0.06	17	-21	38	14.2	15.7	-1.52	15.8	13.1	2.72
Devin Harris	48	49	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.43	12	-16	28	13.2	16.9	-3.63	14.7	13.9	0.86
Yogi Ferrell	37	40	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	15.2	15.0	0.13	15.0	13.8	1.17
Maxi Kleber	38	37	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	4	-12	16.6	14.1	2.40	13.9	14.5	-0.58
Harrison Barnes	72	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-4	4	15.2	14.7	0.53	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Dennis Smith Jr.	50	47	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.04	-10	6	-16	16.6	13.5	3.14	13.7	14.9	-1.20
J.J. Barea	54	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	13.8	16.6	-2.78	14.7	13.8	0.89
Dwight Powell	31	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	0	-4	14.8	15.2	-0.36	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Wesley Matthews	69	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	2	-8	15.4	14.3	1.10	14.1	14.8	-0.68
Dirk Nowitzki	49	48	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.20	-17	13	-30	15.7	14.4	1.31	13.1	15.4	-2.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.11,0.57,0.41,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 107, POR 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.39,0.3,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.24,0.23,0.3,0.28,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,0	92.4%
MIN 94, MEM 87	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.12,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.58,0	91.6%
SEA 104, MIL 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.22,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.24,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.15,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.24,0.28,0	91.4%