NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	110		Excitement	8.2 [242]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +49.3%
Washington Wizards	103		Comeback	3.3 [239]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -28.3%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.44,0.49	0.22	0.29	0.02	17	77%	0.63	3	-0.14	10	90%	0.05
Eric Bledsoe	0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.16	0.02	11	70%	0.34	2	-0.10	8	87%	0.04
Tony Snell	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	8	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Thon Maker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.00	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.07	0.02	14	56%	0.02	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.06
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	14	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.08	-0.00	3	100%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	6	78%	0.14	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Markieff Morris	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	9	67%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.01	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	3	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.16,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.14	-0.09	19	44%	-0.03	4	-0.11	7	71%	0.11
John Wall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.13,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.19	-0.14	-0.04	19	36%	-0.18	6	-0.10	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.0	28.6	14.0	26.6	2.5	34.5	131.6
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +56.7%

MIL +2.7%

MIL +14.8%

WAS -21.6%

WAS -2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	WAS	NBA	MIL	WAS	NBA
this game	13.2	15.6	14.7	110.0	103.0	107.5
season	14.3	14.8		108.5	108.2
opponent	14.7	15.4		107.9	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	13.2	12.4	15.2	12.3	13.2
WAS	15.0	16.4	15.5	15.4	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	84	85	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.35	14	-7	21	13.4	12.1	1.32	15.8	14.1	1.69
Tony Snell	69	69	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.26	15	-8	23	12.7	14.5	-1.86	15.0	16.9	-1.98
John Henson	70	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	0	7	13.4	12.9	0.52	16.2	14.2	2.03
Khris Middleton	88	86	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	4	-1	13.4	11.7	1.68	15.5	16.1	-0.67
Eric Bledsoe	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	8	-9	13.1	13.5	-0.41	15.6	15.5	0.03
Matthew Dellavedova	33	34	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	-1	9	13.1	13.3	-0.16	15.4	15.7	-0.33
Thon Maker	22	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.10	-4	11	-15	13.3	13.2	0.05	13.9	16.1	-2.15
Malcolm Brogdon	65	66	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	14	-21	13.3	13.1	0.22	16.0	14.7	1.31

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	31	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	-3	-1	15.2	15.7	-0.50	12.4	13.6	-1.15
Jodie Meeks	31	30	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.2	15.7	-0.50	12.3	13.6	-1.33
John Wall	87	87	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.23	1	-8	9	15.2	17.9	-2.70	13.4	11.9	1.50
Tomas Satoransky	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	1	-9	15.5	15.6	-0.03	13.5	13.1	0.41
Markieff Morris	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-10	13	16.1	14.6	1.53	13.2	13.4	-0.19
Kelly Oubre Jr.	65	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-8	9	15.7	15.3	0.35	13.2	13.4	-0.22
Mike Scott	35	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	5	-17	14.7	16.1	-1.40	13.2	13.2	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	68	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.33	-1	-6	5	15.7	15.3	0.38	13.6	12.3	1.33
Bradley Beal	86	87	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.39	-9	2	-11	16.0	13.1	2.82	13.3	12.7	0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 92, TOR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.78,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.32,0.09,0	91.6%
PHI 107, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.43,0.27,0	91.5%
NOH 106, PHX 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.75,0.72,0.53,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.34,0.17,0	91.4%