NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	97		Excitement	5.0 [851]		MVP	Pau Gasol (SAS): +16.4%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.1 [1210]		LVP	DeMarre Carroll (BKN): -16.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	11	78%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Milton Doyle	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	11	55%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Allen Crabbe	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	71%	0.11	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00
Quincy Acy	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
DeMarre Carroll	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	10	10%	-0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.07	-0.02	10	68%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	4	85%	0.13	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	15	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.00	0.03	17	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	71%	0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	7	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	28.9	12.7	24.4	2.5	26.4	120.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +33.6%

SAS +9.7%

BKN -11.1%

SAS +8.5%

SAS +9.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	SAS	NBA	BKN	SAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.7	99.0	113.5	107.5
season	14.7	15.5		105.8	106.7
opponent	14.5	14.1		104.1	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	13.8	15.6	17.0	12.6	14.7
SAS	13.9	13.8	16.4	16.2	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Milton Doyle	3	4	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-12	12	12.3	14.7	-2.40	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Quincy Acy	40	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-13	14	15.0	14.4	0.61	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Nik Stauskas	23	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-12	12	15.1	14.5	0.61	13.7	15.4	-1.69
DeMarre Carroll	56	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-8	4	13.6	16.1	-2.55	16.3	13.3	3.01
Jarrett Allen	40	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-5	-2	15.3	14.2	1.16	15.5	14.7	0.84
Allen Crabbe	66	64	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.04	-7	-5	-2	14.2	15.7	-1.57	16.0	13.2	2.77
Spencer Dinwiddie	56	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-8	4	14.2	15.3	-1.05	15.1	14.9	0.22
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-8	4	14.5	14.8	-0.30	15.1	14.9	0.27
Tyler Zeller	40	39	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-6	0	15.1	14.3	0.82	14.4	15.5	-1.13
Joe Harris	52	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	1	-14	15.7	13.5	2.15	14.3	15.9	-1.57
Caris LeVert	58	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.05	-16	4	-20	14.8	14.4	0.40	14.3	16.1	-1.82

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	53	55	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-6	24	14.7	15.5	-0.79	14.3	15.1	-0.85
Pau Gasol	57	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	0	12	14.5	15.8	-1.24	14.2	15.4	-1.28
Rudy Gay	32	32	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.10	8	4	4	13.4	15.8	-2.39	15.7	14.2	1.57
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.09	8	4	4	15.7	13.4	2.26	15.0	13.9	1.04
Tony Parker	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	5	2	15.8	14.3	1.48	14.4	14.9	-0.43
Kyle Anderson	36	36	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.01	9	3	6	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.5	14.2	1.28
Manu Ginobili	43	46	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.00	8	4	4	14.0	15.8	-1.83	14.6	14.7	-0.06
Patty Mills	43	46	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.06	5	7	-2	14.4	15.6	-1.19	15.0	14.3	0.72
Bryn Forbes	25	23	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	14	-16	17.5	14.2	3.37	15.8	14.3	1.52
Dejounte Murray	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.01	-1	13	-14	13.7	15.1	-1.40	17.6	14.4	3.13
Joffrey Lauvergne	9	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	15	-18	17.2	14.8	2.42	12.1	14.9	-2.76
Davis Bertans	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.02	-3	15	-18	18.2	14.7	3.54	11.3	15.0	-3.67
Danny Green	47	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	18	-24	15.3	14.8	0.56	13.9	15.4	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.67,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.96,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, HOU 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1	95.5%
MEM 108, HOU 123	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.69,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
PHI 94, LAL 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.66,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%