NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	8.0 [273]		MVP	JJ Redick (PHI): +27.7%
New York Knicks	98		Comeback	1.9 [617]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NYK): -26.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.28	0.18	0.11	0.01	10	86%	0.30	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
T.J. McConnell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.09	-0.00	11	65%	0.19	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Joel Embiid	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.10	-0.05	17	60%	0.21	6	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.05	0.01	8	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.08
Trevor Booker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Dario Saric	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	15	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.20	0.11	0.08	-0.01	21	62%	0.25	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.04
Kristaps Porzingis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	19	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	14	64%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.12	-0.07	0.07	13	71%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	12	38%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Ron Baker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.13	-0.00	5	0%	-0.14	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.8	30.2	15.3	32.4	3.4	38.3	146.9
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.2%

PHI +14.6%

NYK -27.7%

PHI +9.1%

PHI +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	13.9	15.7	14.7	106.1	102.1	107.5
season	13.9	14.9		108.1	105.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.3	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.4	13.7	13.8	13.6	13.9
NYK	15.6	15.2	16.9	15.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	61	60	1.00	-0.50	1.50	0.27	25	-18	43	12.0	16.8	-4.83	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Joel Embiid	74	72	0.94	-0.44	1.37	0.20	25	-18	43	12.7	17.2	-4.46	15.4	16.6	-1.18
T.J. McConnell	63	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.33	2	5	-3	14.1	13.4	0.75	14.4	17.6	-3.20
Trevor Booker	32	30	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-4	15	12.5	14.5	-2.07	15.0	16.0	-0.97
Dario Saric	67	66	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.27	-4	11	-15	14.5	12.5	2.07	16.0	15.0	0.97
Ben Simmons	67	67	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	11	-15	13.8	13.9	-0.10	16.1	14.8	1.35
Robert Covington	59	57	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	11	-15	15.3	11.7	3.56	16.7	14.2	2.51
Jerryd Bayless	47	46	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	5	-3	14.1	13.6	0.53	15.8	15.6	0.12
Amir Johnson	25	24	-0.44	0.94	-1.37	0.09	-18	25	-43	17.2	12.7	4.46	16.6	15.4	1.18

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Thomas	46	47	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.07	10	-17	27	16.7	14.8	1.87	15.0	12.8	2.23
Jarrett Jack	39	40	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-12	17	17.5	14.5	3.01	14.8	13.2	1.60
Kristaps Porzingis	67	68	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.15	3	-10	13	16.0	14.9	1.10	14.5	12.5	2.06
Courtney Lee	68	69	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	16.0	14.9	1.19	14.7	11.9	2.87
Enes Kanter	72	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.22	3	-10	13	15.9	15.0	0.99	13.8	14.2	-0.39
Kyle O'Quinn	23	24	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.06	-10	3	-13	14.7	16.0	-1.38	14.1	13.8	0.28
Ron Baker	28	30	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.00	-13	6	-19	14.9	16.0	-1.19	11.9	14.7	-2.87
Doug McDermott	31	33	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.06	-17	10	-27	15.0	16.0	-1.03	13.3	14.1	-0.80
Frank Ntilikina	57	59	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.22	-12	5	-17	14.5	17.5	-3.01	13.2	14.8	-1.60
Michael Beasley	49	51	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.31	-10	3	-13	14.9	16.5	-1.63	12.3	15.5	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.19,0.07,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 119, NJN 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.02,0	93.2%
ATL 120, MIL 114	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.11,0.05,0.04,0	93.2%
DET 103, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.33,0.1,0.05,0.03,0,0	92.8%