NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	115		Excitement	8.4 [213]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +35.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	109		Comeback	1.9 [153]		LVP	Eric Bledsoe (MIL): -27.1%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.17	0.19	0.02	16	69%	0.38	1	-0.04	7	100%	0.07
Nikola Mirotic	0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.19,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.00	16	56%	0.23	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.08	-0.01	12	59%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.12	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	14	60%	0.12	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Justin Holiday	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.10	0.11	-0.03	10	33%	0.12	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.07
Denzel Valentine	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Jerian Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.02	0.02	3	62%	0.10	3	-0.12	7	29%	-0.08
Paul Zipser	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.12	0.24	0.00	19	62%	0.42	2	-0.07	9	100%	0.10
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.01	0.03	18	64%	0.16	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.04
Thon Maker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.04	3	70%	0.11	0	0.00	4	50%	0.02
John Henson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	6	73%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Sterling Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	10	41%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.06	-0.00	12	25%	-0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27	-0.27	-0.11	-0.17	-0.02	13	43%	-0.09	5	-0.18	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	30.4	14.4	25.6	2.4	33.6	137.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.6%

CHI +19.7%

CHI +11.7%

MIL -4.7%

MIL -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MIL	NBA	CHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	14.7	117.3	113.5	107.5
season	14.2	14.3		103.2	108.5
opponent	15.4	15.0		108.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	13.7	14.7	15.0	14.8
MIL	12.6	15.1	15.3	17.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	79	77	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.37	13	-7	20	15.1	13.4	1.68	14.5	16.6	-2.14
Bobby Portis	61	58	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.18	13	-7	20	14.0	16.0	-1.97	15.6	13.8	1.78
David Nwaba	72	71	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-5	16	14.7	15.0	-0.31	14.1	17.3	-3.20
Kris Dunn	51	52	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.22	8	-2	10	15.2	14.3	0.88	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Nikola Mirotic	59	59	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	6	-6	14.9	14.6	0.22	14.9	15.0	-0.09
Jerian Grant	47	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.11	-2	8	-10	14.3	15.2	-0.88	15.5	14.4	1.12
Robin Lopez	61	61	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.07	3	3	0	15.3	14.0	1.29	13.7	17.1	-3.41
Paul Zipser	23	22	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	9	-12	14.3	14.9	-0.62	18.5	13.8	4.71
Denzel Valentine	37	36	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.07	-13	19	-32	14.8	14.8	0.06	16.3	14.1	2.18

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sterling Brown	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-8	10	17.7	14.6	3.17	14.8	14.8	0.05
Gary Payton II	22	21	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.07	4	-10	14	12.2	15.7	-3.55	17.2	14.1	3.07
John Henson	40	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-7	8	13.2	16.2	-2.99	15.6	14.2	1.39
Thon Maker	40	39	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	17.0	13.4	3.61	14.3	15.1	-0.86
D.J. Wilson	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.04	-4	-2	-2	13.4	15.1	-1.62	14.4	14.8	-0.42
DeAndre Liggins	5	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	5	-16	16.8	14.8	1.99	13.7	14.8	-1.18
Rashad Vaughn	59	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-11	16	15.8	13.4	2.42	14.0	16.0	-1.99
Giannis Antetokounmpo	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.31	1	-7	8	14.3	18.1	-3.73	14.6	15.7	-1.16
Malcolm Brogdon	61	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.26	-10	4	-14	15.9	13.3	2.61	14.3	15.6	-1.24
Khris Middleton	85	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.32	-8	2	-10	14.6	17.7	-3.17	14.8	14.8	-0.05
Eric Bledsoe	67	69	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.40	-6	0	-6	14.7	15.5	-0.81	15.3	13.5	1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.6,0.47,0.45,0.1,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 94, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.23,0.4,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.05,0	92.3%
CLE 96, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.09,0,0	92.0%
ORL 94, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.31,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.01,0	91.1%